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14.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Guillermo Laza
Referee: Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina
Deportivo Riestra
Match Timeline
Lanus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
A. Wlk · Assist: E. Salvio
Lanus
🟨
45+2'
Felipe Peña Biafore
Lanus
🔄
46'
C. Quintana ↔ R. Gallo
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
46'
J. Goitia ↔ N. Watson
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
46'
A. Alonso ↔ T. Gonzalez
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
64'
P. Ramirez ↔ A. Almada
Deportivo Riestra
⚽
69'
A. Wlk · Assist: E. Salvio
Lanus
🔄
71'
N. Benegas ↔ A. Graneros
Deportivo Riestra
⚽
74'
F. Pena Biafore · Assist: M. Sepulveda
Lanus
🟨
77'
Mariano Bracamonte
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
78'
L. Besozzi ↔ F. N. Watson
Lanus
🔄
78'
A. Wlk ↔ Y. Valois
Lanus
🟨
82'
Alexander Díaz
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
87'
C. Izquierdoz ↔ R. De Jesus
Lanus
🔄
87'
F. Pena Biafore ↔ A. Medina
Lanus
🔄
88'
M. Sepulveda ↔ G. Lobos
Lanus

Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.4%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
1.34 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.5%
1.53 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
5.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Riestra Win 50.9%
Draw 5.6%
Lanus Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Riestra0.79
Lanus0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WWDLW
17 GF / 22 GA
Lanus Lanus
WLDWL
34 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
9
BTTS Yes
11
2
Over 2.5
12
3.42
Shots on Goal
4.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 28 matches
Lanus Lanus 33 matches
Deportivo Riestra Statistic Lanus
4 Wins 13
14 Draws 7
10 Losses 13
17 Goals For 34
22 Goals Against 35
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
9 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 18
2 Over 2.5 12
0 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 13
15 Failed To Score 12
3.42 Shots On Goal 4.26
9.88 Total Shots 12.94
3.88 Corners 4.87
36.1% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lanus's more proactive style and Deportivo Riestra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Lanus carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 24 points while Deportivo Riestra sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lanus. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Riestra expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Lanus in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lanus having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

Deportivo Riestra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats with a 5:12 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza (3 goals), A. Díaz (2 goals), M. Bracamonte (1 goals), with creative support from Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza (1 assists), M. Bracamonte (1 assists), N. Sansotre (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lanus Analysis

Lanus sit 6 with 24 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Valois (4 goals), F. Peña (2 goals), C. Izquierdoz (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Valois (1 assists), C. Izquierdoz (1 assists), Dylan Aquino (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 3 times, Lanus won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Deportivo Riestra's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Riestra 5-3-2 / Lanus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Riestra wins 3, draws 1, Lanus wins 0

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L W L D
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W W D W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D W D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L W L D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
L W D W L
6
Lanus Away
16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L L D W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W W L W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W D W L W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D L D W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D L L D L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D D L L D
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D W D D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D L D D
Knockout Phase