PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ricardo Gregor
Referee: M. D. de Vivar
Deportivo Recoleta
Match Timeline
Club Guarani
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
A. Wlk · Assist: M. Pereira
Deportivo Recoleta
26'
S. Zaracho · Assist: J. Llano
Club Guarani
🟨
27'
Wilfrido Baez
Deportivo Recoleta
37'
W. Baez · Assist: A. Wlk
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
P. Rios ↔ D. Mosquera
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
57'
W. Baez ↔ A. Gonzalez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
57'
J. Noguera ↔ H. Lopez
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
60'
Patricio Tanda
Club Guarani
🟨
62'
Fernando Galeano
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
64'
M. Lopez ↔ Jhon Sanchez
Club Guarani
🔄
75'
D. Fernandez ↔ K. Ferreira Gonzalez
Club Guarani
🔄
75'
J. Llano ↔ N. Romero
Club Guarani
🟨
80'
Imanol Segovia
Club Guarani
🔄
82'
A. Wlk ↔ M. Schupp
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
85'
P. Tanda ↔ I. Ramirez
Club Guarani
🔄
89'
K. Parzajuk ↔ R. Ortiz
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
90'
Oscar Toledo
Deportivo Recoleta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 67%
Draw 0%
Club Guarani Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.34
Club Guarani1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WWDLW
33 GF / 31 GA
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WLDWL
27 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1
14
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
9
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 21 matches
Club Guarani Club Guarani 23 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Statistic Club Guarani
7 Wins 7
4 Draws 9
10 Losses 7
33 Goals For 27
31 Goals Against 23
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1
14 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 9
3.62 Shots On Goal 3.83
10.57 Total Shots 10.96
3.76 Corners 4.04
51.3% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Guarani. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Recoleta expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Club Guarani in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Guarani having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Recoleta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

Deportivo Recoleta sit 8 with 25 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 33:31, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Wlk (12 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), W. Baez (4 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (4 assists), J. Noguera (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Club Guarani Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Club Guarani have collected 29 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Rodriguez (3 goals), G. Servio (3 goals), Matías López (3 goals), with creative support from D. Rodriguez (2 assists), N. Romero (2 assists), I. Ramirez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 2 times, Club Guarani won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:18 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 2, draws 0, Club Guarani wins 6
Stats
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani Club Guarani
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
6
1 Corner Kicks 8
24 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 2
0 Blocked Shots 6
9 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 7
327 Total passes 389
240 Passes accurate 299
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Recoleta
Formation
Club Guarani
O. Toledo
O. Toledo
B. Medina
B. Medina
M. Pereira
🎯
M. Pereira
L. Monzon
L. Monzon
P. Rios
P. Rios
J. Noguera
J. Noguera
F. Galeano
F. Galeano
J. Espinola
J. Espinola
W. Baez
W. Baez
K. Parzajuk
K. Parzajuk
A. Wlk
🎯
A. Wlk
G. Servio
G. Servio
M. Ramos
M. Ramos
I. Segovia
I. Segovia
S. Zaracho
S. Zaracho
T. Servin
T. Servin
M. Lopez
M. Lopez
L. Martinez
L. Martinez
P. Tanda
P. Tanda
D. Fernandez
D. Fernandez
R. Torales
R. Torales
J. Llano
🎯
J. Llano
Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
O. Toledo
🟨 90'
G
15
B. Medina
D
4
M. Pereira
🎯 14'
D
32
L. Monzon
D
18
P. Rios
↓ 46'
D
10
J. Noguera
↓ 57'
M
8
F. Galeano
🟨 62'
M
6
J. Espinola
M
17
W. Baez
⚽ 37' ↓ 57' 🟨 27'
M
11
K. Parzajuk
↓ 89'
F
29
A. Wlk
⚽ 14' 🎯 37' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Marsengo
G
27
J. C. Dominguez Castillo
33
A. Gonzalez
↑ 57'
M
31
M. Schupp
↑ 82'
M
23
J. Nunez
M
21
C. Garay
M
25
D. Mosquera
↑ 46'
D
9
R. Ortiz
↑ 89'
F
24
T. Vidal
F
19
H. Lopez
↑ 57'
M
16
C. Vera
M
14
C. Figueredo
D
Club Guarani 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
G. Servio
G
14
M. Ramos
D
2
I. Segovia
🟨 80'
D
4
S. Zaracho
⚽ 26'
D
15
T. Servin
D
8
M. Lopez
↓ 64'
M
36
L. Martinez
M
5
P. Tanda
↓ 85' 🟨 60'
M
26
D. Fernandez
↓ 75'
F
17
R. Torales
F
29
J. Llano
🎯 26' ↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Arzamendia
G
11
Jhon Sanchez
↑ 64'
F
19
C. G. Ramirez Perdesen
D
20
R. Quinonez
F
27
M. Gomez
M
3
A. Barbotte
D
9
I. Ramirez
↑ 85'
F
25
G. Gomez
M
34
M. Maldonado
M
33
K. Ferreira Gonzalez
↑ 75'
28
N. Romero
↑ 75'
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
15.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
2
3
L
11.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
2
3
L
03.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
24.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
Last matches: Club Guarani
16.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
11.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
03.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
18.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
10.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
05.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
2
0
W
29.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
0
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
07.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
01.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
1
2
L
23.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
3
L
19.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
0
0
D
13.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
1
W
08.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
3
3
D
H2H: Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani
23.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
18.03.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
3
1
L
18.10.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
L
04.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
3
L
02.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
0
3
L
21.02.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
1
3
W
14.10.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
2
0
L
23.07.19
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
03.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
23.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Deportivo Recoleta
23.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
04.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
3
L
02.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
0
3
L
23.07.19
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
Last matches: Club Guarani
11.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
26.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
10.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
01.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
2
0
W
15.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
01.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
23.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
3
L
19.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
0
0
D
08.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
3
3
D
29.01.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.01.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
1
2
L
H2H away: Club Guarani
23.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
L
04.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
3
W
02.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
0
3
W
23.07.19
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)