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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
26.09.2026 21:00
Santiago de las Atalayas
Referee: Fernando Bautista, Colombia
Deportivo Pereira
Match Timeline
Internacional de Bogota
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
Yulian Gomez ↔ Miguel Angel Amaya Peña
Internacional de Bogota
🟨
19'
Diego Duarte
Internacional de Bogota
🟨
31'
Jhon Alexander Montoya
Deportivo Pereira
VAR
41'
Jhon Alexander Montoya
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
45'
Jhon Alexander Montoya ↔ Anderson Plata
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
51'
Anderson Plata
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
59'
Johan Caballero ↔ Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías
Internacional de Bogota
🔄
59'
Facundo Boné ↔ Fabricio Sanguinetti
Internacional de Bogota
🟨
65'
Ederson Moreno
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
70'
Jordy Monroy ↔ Miguel Ángel Aguirre
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
70'
Sebastian Acosta ↔ Marco Pérez
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
73'
Ederson Moreno ↔ Luis Jeiner Moreno
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
74'
Diego Duarte ↔ Yojan Garces
Internacional de Bogota
🟨
80'
Yojan Garces
Internacional de Bogota
🟨
85'
Sebastián Urrea Arbeláez
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
85'
Larry Vásquez
Internacional de Bogota
🟨
86'
Ronaldo Junior Julio Tobías
Internacional de Bogota
🟨
86'
Tobías Bovone
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
87'
Marco Pérez
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
89'
Jhon Largacha ↔ Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
Deportivo Pereira

Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogota Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.9%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.12 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.8%
1.28 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pereira Win 29.1%
Draw 20.4%
Internacional de Bogota Win 50.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pereira1.1
Internacional de Bogota1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WWDLW
21 GF / 43 GA
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
WLDWL
42 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
12
BTTS Yes
21
12
Over 2.5
19
3.37
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 27 matches
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 33 matches
Deportivo Pereira Statistic Internacional de Bogota
2 Wins 10
11 Draws 12
14 Losses 11
21 Goals For 42
43 Goals Against 52
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
12 BTTS Yes 21
16 Over 1.5 26
12 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 7
14 Failed To Score 9
3.37 Shots On Goal 4.44
9.04 Total Shots 12.34
2.52 Corners 4.72
44.4% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Internacional de Bogota. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Internacional de Bogota carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 28 points while Deportivo Pereira sit 20 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pereira expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Internacional de Bogota in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Internacional de Bogota having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

With 10 points from 19 games and a place of 20, Deportivo Pereira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Quiñones (5 goals), J. Monroy (4 goals), M. Pérez (3 goals), with creative support from J. Quiñones (2 assists), J. Largacha (2 assists), W. Pacheco (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

Internacional de Bogota sit 8 with 28 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 26:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Sanguinetti (7 goals), F. Boné (5 goals), Dereck Moncada (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sanguinetti (7 assists), F. Boné (2 assists), Dereck Moncada (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 5 times, Internacional de Bogota won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Deportivo Pereira's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pereira 3-4-3 / Internacional de Bogota 5-4-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Pereira wins 5, draws 5, Internacional de Bogota wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification