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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
11.10.2026 19:00
Santiago de las Atalayas

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pereira Win 11.2%
Draw 5.3%
Deportivo Cali Win 83.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pereira0.74
Deportivo Cali1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WWDLW
22 GF / 49 GA
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WLDWL
42 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
13
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
10
3.27
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 30 matches
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 33 matches
Deportivo Pereira Statistic Deportivo Cali
2 Wins 15
12 Draws 10
16 Losses 8
22 Goals For 42
49 Goals Against 25
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
13 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 14
16 Failed To Score 8
3.27 Shots On Goal 4.23
8.9 Total Shots 12.03
2.67 Corners 4.32
44.9% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo Cali's more proactive style and Deportivo Pereira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Cali. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pereira expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Deportivo Cali in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Cali having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Cali carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 27 points while Deportivo Pereira sit 20 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Deportivo Cali look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

Deportivo Pereira sit 20 with 10 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Quiñones (5 goals), J. Monroy (4 goals), M. Pérez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Quiñones (2 assists), J. Largacha (2 assists), W. Pacheco (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

Deportivo Cali are currently 9 in the standings with 27 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:16 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Rodríguez (10 goals), E. Bello (8 goals), A. Hurtado (5 goals), with creative support from J. Martínez (8 assists), S. Rodríguez (3 assists), L. Chaverra (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 5 times, Deportivo Cali won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Deportivo Pereira's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pereira 4-4-2 / Deportivo Cali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Pereira wins 5, draws 2, Deportivo Cali wins 7

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D L L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W L L D L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W L W W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification