Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Merlo
26 matches
Villa San Carlos
26 matches
| Deportivo Merlo | Statistic | Villa San Carlos |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 31 | Goals For | 24 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Merlo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 31 points compared to Villa San Carlos in 21 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Deportivo Merlo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villa San Carlos having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Villa San Carlos.
With 31 points from 21 games and a place of 9, Deportivo Merlo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats with a 26:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Villa San Carlos sit 21 with 17 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with a 20:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo won 2 times, Villa San Carlos won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Deportivo Merlo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Lineups
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
Arsenal Sarandi
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
Talleres Remedios
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Merlo
Flandria
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
Deportivo Merlo
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Merlo
Comunicaciones
Deportivo Merlo
Dock Sud
Villa San Carlos
Defensores Unidos
Villa San Carlos
Comunicaciones
Villa San Carlos
Dock Sud
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Camioneros
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
San Martín Burzaco
Villa San Carlos
Ituzaingó
Villa San Carlos
Liniers
Villa San Carlos
Real Pilar
Villa San Carlos
UAI Urquiza
Villa San Carlos
Villa Dalmine
Villa San Carlos
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Camioneros
Villa San Carlos
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa San Carlos
Argentino de Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Talleres Remedios
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Laferrere
Villa San Carlos
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Armenio
Villa San Carlos
Flandria
Deportivo Merlo
Sportivo Italiano
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Deportivo Merlo
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Merlo
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino Quilmes
Deportivo Merlo
Comunicaciones
Deportivo Merlo
Ituzaingó
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Camioneros
Deportivo Merlo
San Martín Burzaco
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
Sacachispas
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
Midland
Deportivo Merlo
Acassuso
Deportivo Merlo
Argentino de Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Comunicaciones
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
Villa San Carlos
Ituzaingó
Villa San Carlos
Liniers
Villa San Carlos
Real Pilar
Villa San Carlos
Villa Dalmine
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Camioneros
Villa San Carlos
Arsenal Sarandi
Villa San Carlos
Talleres Remedios
Villa San Carlos
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
Flandria
Villa San Carlos
Defensores Unidos
Villa San Carlos
Dock Sud
Villa San Carlos
San Martín Burzaco
Villa San Carlos
Acassuso
Villa San Carlos
Comunicaciones
Villa San Carlos
San Martín Burzaco
Villa San Carlos
Deportivo Merlo
Villa San Carlos
Real Pilar
Villa San Carlos
Sportivo Italiano
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 45:23 | 22 | 56 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33:15 | 18 | 56 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 55 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 55 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 53 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 52 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 45 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 44 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 31:29 | 2 | 40 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:30 | 0 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Deportivo Merlo
Home
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33:45 | -12 | 38 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 |
Villa San Carlos
Away
|
30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 21:30 | -9 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 23:36 | -13 | 29 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 30 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 27 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 26 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|