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05.10.2026 22:00
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Deportivo Merlo
Match Timeline
Brown DE Adrogue
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
A. Minnicelli
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
46'
I. Sandoval ↔ C. Gugenheim
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
62'
M. Noble ↔ M. Cerulo
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
62'
N. Meaurio ↔ V. Galeano
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
66'
L. Figueredo
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
66'
A. M. Paez ↔ L. Vallejo
Deportivo Merlo
🟨
73'
B. Lopez
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
73'
L. Baldunciel ↔ M. Pieres
Brown DE Adrogue

Deportivo Merlo vs Brown DE Adrogue Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.2%
1.44 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.33 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Merlo Win 49.9%
Draw 26.3%
Brown DE Adrogue Win 23.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Merlo0.98
Brown DE Adrogue0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
WWDLW
36 GF / 51 GA
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WLDWL
24 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.65
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1
19
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo 37 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 37 matches
Deportivo Merlo Statistic Brown DE Adrogue
10 Wins 8
13 Draws 14
14 Losses 15
36 Goals For 24
51 Goals Against 37
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1
19 BTTS Yes 12
25 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 18
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Deportivo Merlo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brown DE Adrogue having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brown DE Adrogue. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Merlo Analysis

Deportivo Merlo sit 14 with 43 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 36:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

Brown DE Adrogue sit 20 with 35 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 14 draws, and 15 defeats with a 21:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo won 1 times, Brown DE Adrogue won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:11 from Deportivo Merlo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.2%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Merlo wins 1, draws 1, Brown DE Adrogue wins 5

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)