Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
10.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Maldonado
15 matches
Danubio
15 matches
| Deportivo Maldonado | Statistic | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 24 | Goals For | 17 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Maldonado's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Maldonado arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 29 points compared to Danubio in 11 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Maldonado expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Danubio in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Danubio having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Danubio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Deportivo Maldonado approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 29 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 24:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. M. Noble Sequeira (6 goals), Christian Tabó (4 goals), R. Cesar (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
From their first 15 matches, Danubio have collected 18 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Cabrera (4 goals), S. Fernandez (4 goals), Mateo Peralta (3 goals), with creative support from M. Jourdan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maldonado won 2 times, Danubio won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Deportivo Maldonado's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Lineups
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo