03.10.2026 21:00
Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
Referee: Javier Feres
Deportivo Maldonado
Match Timeline
Central Espanol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
raul tarragona
Central Espanol
⚽
13'
Renato Cesar
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
59'
Santiago Cartagena
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
61'
raul tarragona ↔ J. Dellarossa
Central Espanol
🟨
65'
Cayetano Bolzán
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
67'
Guillermo gandolfo
Central Espanol
🔄
68'
Santiago Cartagena ↔ Lucas·Nunez
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
68'
Cayetano Bolzán ↔ Adrian Vila
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
68'
Camilo Mayada ↔ Lautaro Ibanez
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
80'
Gonzalo Sebastián Sosa ↔ maxiliano alis sequeira noble
Deportivo Maldonado
⚽
82'
Lautaro Ibanez
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
86'
Fernando Camarda
Central Espanol
🔄
89'
Lucas·Pino ↔ Marcos Montiel
Central Espanol
🔄
89'
David Maximiliano Gonzalez ↔ franco marino
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
89'
Franco Munoz ↔ exequiel mereles
Central Espanol
⚽
90'
maxiliano alis sequeira noble
Deportivo Maldonado

Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.9%
1.60 ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maldonado Win 68.9%
Draw 5.3%
Central Espanol Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maldonado1.44
Central Espanol1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
WWDLW
46 GF / 27 GA
Central Espanol Central Espanol
WLDWL
32 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.07
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
14
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 30 matches
Central Espanol Central Espanol 30 matches
Deportivo Maldonado Statistic Central Espanol
16 Wins 10
7 Draws 8
7 Losses 12
46 Goals For 32
27 Goals Against 39
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
14 BTTS Yes 15
22 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Deportivo Maldonado's more proactive style and Central Espanol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Central Espanol. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Espanol having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Central Espanol arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Deportivo Maldonado Analysis

Placed 4 with 52 points from 29 outings, Deportivo Maldonado continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 44:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Central Espanol Analysis

Central Espanol sit 8 with 38 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 31:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maldonado won 3 times, Central Espanol won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Deportivo Maldonado's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Maldonado 4-3-1-2 / Central Espanol 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Maldonado wins 3, draws 1, Central Espanol wins 1

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 19 6 6 50:25 25 62
W D W W W
2 31 17 7 7 49:27 22 58
W W W L W
3 30 16 6 8 52:35 17 54
D L W W W
4 31 14 11 6 36:25 11 53
L L D W L
5 31 14 8 9 40:36 4 50
W W D D L
6 31 13 10 8 42:30 12 49
W W D L W
7 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
8 31 10 8 13 32:42 -10 38
L L L D D
9 31 10 7 14 41:42 -1 37
W L L L L
10 31 9 10 12 35:39 -4 37
D D W D D
11 31 8 11 12 28:36 -8 35
L W L W D
12 31 8 9 14 29:36 -7 33
L L L D L
13 31 9 6 16 23:45 -22 33
L D L W W
14 31 8 7 16 29:42 -13 31
D L L L L
15 31 5 14 12 26:40 -14 29
W L D D L
16 31 8 4 19 27:46 -19 28
L W W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)