URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maldonado Win 50%
Draw 11%
Albion FC Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maldonado1.52
Albion FC1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
WWDLW
35 GF / 20 GA
Albion FC Albion FC
WLDWL
29 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 19 matches
Albion FC Albion FC 19 matches
Deportivo Maldonado Statistic Albion FC
12 Wins 9
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
35 Goals For 29
20 Goals Against 20
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
12 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Albion FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Albion FC. Deportivo Maldonado come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Deportivo Maldonado Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 39 points after 19 matches. With 12 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:20, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Christian Tabó (7 goals), A. M. Noble Sequeira (6 goals), Santiago Ramírez (5 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Albion FC Analysis

Albion FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 32 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Lopez (12 goals), C. Airala (5 goals), F. Ginella (3 goals), with creative support from A. Lopez (1 assists), C. Airala (1 assists), S. Costa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maldonado won 3 times, Albion FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Deportivo Maldonado's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Maldonado 4-3-1-2 / Albion FC -
H2H summary: Deportivo Maldonado wins 3, draws 3, Albion FC wins 4
Last matches: Deportivo Maldonado
06.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
4
2
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
3
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
1
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
2
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
4
2
W
Last matches: Albion FC
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H: Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC
25.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
L
14.09.25
H2H
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
L
22.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
1
L
24.10.22
H2H
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
W
15.07.22
H2H
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
3
W
04.06.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
25.08.19
H2H
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
W
18.05.19
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
20.10.18
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
26.05.18
H2H
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
L
Last matches: Deportivo Maldonado
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
3
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
02.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
2
0
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Maldonado
25.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
L
22.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.06.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
18.05.19
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
20.10.18
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Albion FC
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
H2H away: Albion FC
25.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
W
22.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
1
W
04.06.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
18.05.19
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D
20.10.18
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
0
0
D