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26.09.2026 22:00
Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium
Deportivo Laferrere
Match Timeline
Sportivo Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
D. Vega
Deportivo Laferrere
🟨
13'
I. Cavoret
Deportivo Laferrere
🟨
23'
Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano
⚽
44'
K. Gimenez
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
49'
F. Centurion
Sportivo Italiano
🟥
57'
G. Atardo
Deportivo Laferrere
⚽
59'
L. Laborda
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
61'
N. Manzi ↔ J. Denis
Deportivo Laferrere
🔄
61'
F. Romero ↔ J. Moran
Deportivo Laferrere
🔄
73'
A. Benitez ↔ A. Visco
Deportivo Laferrere
🔄
74'
F. Centurion ↔ A. Guerra
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
74'
F. Gomez ↔ T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
82'
K. Gimenez ↔ P. Durante
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
86'
F. Ortiz ↔ L. Rebecchi
Deportivo Laferrere
🔄
90+5'
L. Laborda ↔ R. Fortino
Sportivo Italiano

Deportivo Laferrere vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.8%
Odds 2.41
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.8%
2.41 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Laferrere Win 21.5%
Draw 6.7%
Sportivo Italiano Win 71.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Laferrere1.01
Sportivo Italiano1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
WWDLW
43 GF / 47 GA
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WLDWL
41 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
19
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere 36 matches
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 36 matches
Deportivo Laferrere Statistic Sportivo Italiano
12 Wins 16
12 Draws 11
12 Losses 9
43 Goals For 41
47 Goals Against 27
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
19 BTTS Yes 15
29 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Deportivo Laferrere's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sportivo Italiano. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Sportivo Italiano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Laferrere Analysis

So far, Deportivo Laferrere have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 48 points from 35 matches. The record of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 42:45 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

With 58 points from 35 games and a place of 6, Sportivo Italiano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats with a 41:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Laferrere won 4 times, Sportivo Italiano won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Deportivo Laferrere's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Laferrere wins 4, draws 8, Sportivo Italiano wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)