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16.10.2026 19:00
Estadio de Riazor

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo La Coruna Win 51.9%
Draw 19.1%
Levante Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo La Coruna1.43
Levante1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
WWDLW
22 GF / 17 GA
Levante Levante
WLDWL
17 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
10
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
8
3.86
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 16 matches
Levante Levante 12 matches
Deportivo La Coruna Statistic Levante
5 Wins 5
8 Draws 2
3 Losses 5
22 Goals For 17
17 Goals Against 18
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
10 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
3.86 Shots On Goal 3.67
10.14 Total Shots 10.67
4.86 Corners 3
46.7% Ball Possession 40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo La Coruna's more proactive style and Levante's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Levante. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo La Coruna expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Levante in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Levante having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo La Coruna arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 10 points compared to Levante in 17 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Deportivo La Coruna Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Deportivo La Coruna have collected 10 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Aubameyang (5 goals), Luismi Cruz (1 goals), Diego Villares (1 goals), with creative support from P. Aubameyang (2 assists), Mario Soriano (2 assists), Luismi Cruz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Levante Analysis

Levante sit 17 with 5 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Brugui (3 goals), Iván Romero (2 goals), Jon Ander Olasagasti (1 goals), with creative support from Jon Ander Olasagasti (1 assists), E. Bardeli (1 assists), J. Toljan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Coruna won 4 times, Levante won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:14 from Deportivo La Coruna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2 / Levante 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Deportivo La Coruna wins 4, draws 4, Levante wins 4

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 31:7 24 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
W W W L W
3 7 5 1 1 9:7 2 16
D W W W L
4 7 5 0 2 18:8 10 15
L W W L W
5 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W D L
6 7 3 2 2 11:6 5 11
D L L W W
7 7 2 4 1 10:8 2 10
D L D W W
8 7 3 1 3 9:13 -4 10
W L W D W
9 7 2 2 3 13:12 1 8
W W L L L
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W L
11 7 2 2 3 4:7 -3 8
W L D D L
12 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W L
13 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
14 7 1 4 2 8:6 2 7
W D D D L
15 7 2 1 4 10:10 0 7
L L W D L
16 7 2 1 4 11:21 -10 7
L L W L W
17 6 1 2 3 8:12 -4 5
L L D W D
18 7 1 2 4 11:17 -6 5
W L D L L
19 7 1 1 5 4:13 -9 4
L W L L L
20 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D D L
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Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation