Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportes Tolima
Independiente Medellin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportes Tolima
35 matches
Independiente Medellin
32 matches
| Deportes Tolima | Statistic | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 45 | Goals For | 45 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.46 | Shots On Goal | 4.4 |
| 12.14 | Total Shots | 13.53 |
| 4.49 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente Medellin look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Independiente Medellin.
Deportes Tolima are currently 6 in the standings with 31 points from 19 matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 27:17 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jorge Hurtado (1 goals), Kelvin Florez (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Hurtado (1 assists), Junior Hernández (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
So far, Independiente Medellin have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:24 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Hayen Palacios (1 goals), Jhan Mena (1 goals), John Edwin Montaño (1 goals), with creative support from Hayen Palacios (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 4 times, Independiente Medellin won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Deportes Tolima
11
5
6
5
4
4
Lineups
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
Independiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
Junior
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Cali
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Cali
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Águilas Doradas
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
Chico
Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
Junior
Independiente Medellin
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
Independiente del Valle
Deportes Tolima
Internacional de Bogota
Deportes Tolima
Junior
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Cali
Deportes Tolima
Coquimbo Unido
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pereira
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
Deportes Tolima
Jaguares
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
Llaneros
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Cusco
Independiente Medellin
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
Jaguares
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Llaneros
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
Millonarios
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Cali
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Envigado
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Independiente Medellin
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
Junior
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
Atletico Nacional
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Home
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
D
L
L
W
|