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CHILE › PRIMERA B
14.09.2026 21:00
Deportes Santa Cruz
Match Timeline
Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+4'
F. Alarcon
Recoleta
🟨
50'
N. Zeineddin
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
63'
E. Flores
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
64'
J. Delgado ↔ C. Moreno
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
64'
N. Zeineddin ↔ Y. Islame
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
73'
G. Alvarez ↔ M. Arguinarena
Recoleta
🔄
78'
P. Sanchez ↔ F. Flores
Recoleta
🔄
78'
G. Estigarribia ↔ R. Riveros
Recoleta
🔄
88'
P. Brito ↔ S. Mederos
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
88'
J. Espinoza ↔ N. Carvajal
Recoleta
🟨
90+5'
B. Viveros
Recoleta

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.71
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.1%
1.57 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.71 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.98 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 25.9%
Draw 21.1%
Recoleta Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Santa Cruz1.34
Recoleta1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WWDLW
39 GF / 45 GA
Recoleta Recoleta
WLDWL
42 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
19
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 31 matches
Recoleta Recoleta 30 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Statistic Recoleta
9 Wins 11
10 Draws 9
12 Losses 10
39 Goals For 42
45 Goals Against 44
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
19 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Recoleta's more proactive style and Deportes Santa Cruz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Recoleta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 34 points while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Recoleta. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

With 18 points from 23 games and a place of 15, Deportes Santa Cruz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 25:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Recoleta Analysis

So far, Recoleta have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 34 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 34:32 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 times, Recoleta won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Deportes Santa Cruz's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Santa Cruz 5-2-3 / Recoleta -
H2H summary: Deportes Santa Cruz wins 1, draws 2, Recoleta wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W