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27.09.2026 16:00
Parken Stadium
Referee: Willy Delajod, France
Denmark
Match Timeline
Wales
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
24'
Gustav Isaksen
Denmark
🔄
30'
Patrick Dorgu ↔ Mohamed Daramy
Denmark
🟨
35'
Joakim Mæhle
Denmark
🟨
48'
Chris Mepham
Wales
⚽
53'
Ben Davies
Denmark
🔄
60'
Charlie Savage ↔ Josh Sheehan
Wales
🟨
65'
Brennan Johnson
Wales
⚽
66'
Gustav Isaksen
Denmark
🔄
67'
Daniel James ↔ Jordan James
Wales
🔄
67'
Kieffer Moore ↔ Lewis Koumas
Wales
🔄
76'
Gustav Isaksen ↔ Adam Daghim
Denmark
🔄
83'
Brennan Johnson ↔ Wes Burns
Wales
🔄
87'
Rasmus Højlund ↔ Kasper Høgh
Denmark
🔄
87'
Mikkel Damsgaard ↔ Victor Froholdt
Denmark

Denmark vs Wales Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.2%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Denmark Win 57.2%
Draw 9.5%
Wales Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Denmark1.3
Wales0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Denmark Denmark
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Wales Wales
WLDWL
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
1
4.33
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Denmark Denmark 3 matches
Wales Wales 4 matches
Denmark Statistic Wales
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
4 Goals For 3
4 Goals Against 5
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
2 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 4
7.67 Total Shots 14
2.67 Corners 6
35% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Denmark won 3 times, Wales won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:1 from Denmark's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: Denmark 4-2-3-1 / Wales 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Denmark wins 3, draws 0, Wales wins 0

Standings

League A - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2 4 2 0 2 7:7 0 6
W L W L
3
Wales Away
4 1 0 3 2:5 -3 3
L W L L
4 4 1 0 3 6:8 -2 3
L L L W
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off