BRAZIL › SERIE D

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Democrata GV

56'

0 - 1

Ivinhema

Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas

Democrata GV

Live Timeline

Ivinhema

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 74.3%

Odds 1.50

BTTS

Yes

Probability 82.5%

Odds 2.20

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds 2.03

1 agree / 0 disagree

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	74.3%	1.50	▥
BTTS	Yes	82.5%	2.20	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	2.03	▥
Corners O/U	Under 7.5 Corners	92%	4.30	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.30	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	9.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Democrata GV Win 74.3%

Draw 4.3%

Ivinhema Win 21.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Democrata GV1.23

Ivinhema1.09

Recent Form (Last 5)

Democrata GV

WWDLW

14 GF / 12 GA

Ivinhema

WLDWL

12 GF / 13 GA

Key Stats

1.27

Average Goals Scored

1.09

Average Goals Conceded

1.18

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Democrata GV 11 matches

Ivinhema 11 matches

Democrata GV	Statistic	Ivinhema
5	Wins	4
2	Draws	4
4	Losses	3
14	Goals For	12
12	Goals Against	13
1.27	Avg Goals Scored	1.09
1.09	Avg Goals Conceded	1.18
6	BTTS Yes	6
7	Over 1.5	9
5	Over 2.5	4
4	Over 3.5	2
4	Clean Sheets	3
2	Failed To Score	3
0	Shots On Goal	0
0	Total Shots	0
0	Corners	0
0%	Ball Possession	0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Democrata GV's more proactive style and Ivinhema's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ivinhema have the edge after taking the first leg 3-1, leaving Democrata GV needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ivinhema. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ivinhema having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Democrata GV Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Democrata GV arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 17 points after 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Ivan Junior (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Ivinhema Analysis

Ivinhema enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 4 in their league. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 9:12, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on L. Robert (3 goals), C. C. Alisson d. (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Democrata GV won 0 times, Ivinhema won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Democrata GV's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)

H2H summary: Democrata GV wins 0, draws 0, Ivinhema wins 1

Last matches: Democrata GV

21.06.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Ivinhema

14.06.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Real Noroeste

31.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Rio Branco ES

25.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Porto BA

16.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Tombense

10.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Vitória ES

04.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Vitória ES

25.04.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Tombense

18.04.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Porto BA

12.04.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Rio Branco ES

06.04.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Real Noroeste

Last matches: Ivinhema

21.06.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Democrata GV

14.06.26

Ser

Ivinhema

CRAC

31.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Uberlandia

23.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Ipatinga

16.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Operario Ferroviario

10.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

ABECAT Ouvidorense

02.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

ABECAT Ouvidorense

26.04.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Operario Ferroviario

19.04.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Ipatinga

11.04.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Uberlandia

05.04.26

Ser

Ivinhema

CRAC

H2H: Democrata GV vs Ivinhema

21.06.26

H2H

Ivinhema

Democrata GV

Last matches: Democrata GV

31.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Rio Branco ES

25.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Porto BA

04.05.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Vitória ES

25.04.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Tombense

06.04.26

Ser

Democrata GV

Real Noroeste

Last matches: Ivinhema

14.06.26

Ser

Ivinhema

CRAC

23.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Ipatinga

16.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Operario Ferroviario

02.05.26

Ser

Ivinhema

ABECAT Ouvidorense

11.04.26

Ser

Ivinhema

Uberlandia

Showing odds from: 1xBet

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 6.29

Draw 3.59

Home 1.50

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 1.5 1.32

Over 1.75 1.40

Over 2.0 1.53

Over 2.25 1.79

Over 2.5 2.03

Over 2.75 2.31

Over 3.0 2.83

Under 1.5 3.06

Under 1.75 2.72

Under 2.0 2.38

Under 2.25 1.97

Under 2.5 1.72

Under 2.75 1.54

Under 3.0 1.37

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 6.25

Draw 3.50

Home 1.50

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 6.00

Draw 2.10

Home 2.10

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 5.50

Draw 2.50

Home 1.91

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 0.5 1.06

Over 1.5 1.33

Over 2.5 2.08

Over 3.5 3.75

Over 4.5 7.00

Over 5.5 10.50

Over 6.5 17.00

Under 0.5 8.00

Under 1.5 3.25

Under 2.5 1.73

Under 3.5 1.25

Under 4.5 1.08

Under 5.5 1.02

Under 6.5 1.00

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 6.31

Draw 3.80

Home 1.47

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 6.44

Draw 2.13

Home 2.06

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 6.30

Draw 2.51

Home 1.84

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 0.5 1.04

Over 1.0 1.04

Over 1.25 1.17

Over 1.5 1.30

Over 1.75 1.38

Over 2.0 1.50

Over 2.25 1.77

Over 2.5 2.00

Over 2.75 2.26

Over 3.0 2.78

Over 3.25 3.08

Over 3.5 3.42

Over 4.0 5.90

Over 4.5 7.00

Over 5.5 15.00

Over 6.5 17.00

Under 0.5 7.80

Under 1.0 6.85

Under 1.25 3.98

Under 1.5 2.97

Under 1.75 2.63

Under 2.0 2.28

Under 2.25 1.92

Under 2.5 1.71

Under 2.75 1.51

Under 3.0 1.34

Under 3.25 1.28

Under 3.5 1.23

Under 4.0 1.07

Under 4.5 1.08

Under 5.5 1.02

Under 6.5 1.00

Main markets

MATCH WINNER

Away 5.75

Draw 3.45

Home 1.55

FIRST HALF WINNER

Away 5.75

Draw 2.18

Home 2.10

SECOND HALF WINNER

Away 5.20

Draw 2.48

Home 1.96

GOALS OVER/UNDER

Over 1.5 1.32

Over 2.5 2.04

Over 3.5 3.65

Under 1.5 2.95

Under 2.5 1.65

Under 3.5 1.21

Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	XV de Piracicaba	10	4	5	1	14:9	5	17	L D D W W
1	Santa Catarina	10	6	1	3	15:9	6	19	W W W W L
1	Blumenau	10	6	1	3	14:8	6	19	L W W L D
1	Treze	10	5	2	3	18:14	4	17	L D L W W
1	CSA	10	6	3	1	25:8	17	21	W D D W W
1	Uberlandia	10	5	3	2	12:8	4	18	L D D D W
1	Democrata GV Home	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17	D W W L L
1	Portuguesa	10	6	3	1	16:6	10	21	W W W D L
2	Água Santa	10	5	2	3	16:8	8	17	L W W D D
2	Noroeste	10	4	3	3	12:7	5	15	W D L W W
2	Cianorte	10	5	1	4	9:8	1	16	W L D W L
2	Marcílio Dias	10	4	4	2	9:5	4	16	D L D W W
2	Sergipe	10	4	3	3	15:13	2	15	D L L D W
2	Juazeirense	10	5	2	3	12:9	3	17	W D D L L
2	Ipatinga	10	4	3	3	12:9	3	15	W L W D D
2	Tombense	10	4	5	1	13:6	7	17	D W D W D
3	Portuguesa RJ	10	3	5	2	14:9	5	14	L D D W D
3	Velo Clube	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13	W L D L D
3	Cascavel	10	4	3	3	9:4	5	15	L D W L W
3	Independiente FSJ	10	3	4	3	3:4	-1	13	D L D L D
3	Serra Branca	10	3	6	1	12:8	4	15	D D W L D
3	ASA	10	4	4	2	11:7	4	16	D D D W W
3	CRAC	10	3	4	3	7:7	0	13	D L D W D
3	Vitória ES	10	4	3	3	12:8	4	15	D D W D W
4	América RJ	10	3	3	4	11:21	-10	12	W D L W L
4	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	10	3	3	4	8:10	-2	12	L W D L L
4	São Luiz	10	4	3	3	11:9	2	15	W D L W W
4	Sao Jose	10	3	4	3	6:8	-2	13	W W D D W
4	Lagarto	10	3	4	3	14:15	-1	13	W W D D D
4	Jacuipense	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13	D D D W W
4	Ivinhema Away	10	3	4	3	9:12	-3	13	D D L L D
4	Rio Branco ES	10	3	4	3	14:12	2	13	W L L D D
5	Madureira	10	3	2	5	11:16	-5	11	W L D L W
5	Nova Iguaçu	10	3	3	4	7:10	-3	12	W L W W D
5	Joinville	10	4	3	3	10:8	2	15	L W D L L
5	Brasil DE Pelotas	10	2	4	4	9:12	-3	10	D L D D L
5	Retrô	10	3	3	4	13:15	-2	12	W D D W L
5	CSE	10	2	3	5	10:17	-7	9	L D D L L
5	ABECAT Ouvidorense	10	3	3	4	8:9	-1	12	W W W L D
5	Porto BA	10	3	1	6	9:21	-12	10	L L L D L
6	Pouso Alegre	10	2	1	7	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W
6	CFRJ / Maricá	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L W D L L
6	Guarany de Bagé	10	1	1	8	2:18	-16	4	L L L L W
6	Azuriz	10	2	3	5	7:11	-4	9	D W L W L
6	Decisão	10	2	2	6	10:17	-7	8	L D W L L
6	Atlético Alagoinhas	10	1	2	7	5:20	-15	5	L D D L L
6	Operario Ferroviario	10	2	3	5	9:12	-3	9	L W L W L
6	Real Noroeste	10	1	5	4	6:11	-5	8	D D D D W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Manauara	10	6	4	0	13:5	8	22	W W D W D
2	Nacional AM	10	6	2	2	15:9	6	20	W D W L W
3	Sao Raimundo	10	3	4	3	10:7	3	13	L W D L L
4	Monte Roraima	10	2	4	4	11:14	-3	10	L L D W W
5	Manaus FC	10	2	4	4	8:13	-5	10	L D D W L
6	GAS	10	1	2	7	8:17	-9	5	W L L L D

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 2

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Guaporé	10	6	4	0	19:9	10	22	D W W D W
2	Porto Velho	10	5	3	2	33:9	24	18	W W D D W
3	Araguaína	10	5	3	2	31:9	22	18	W L D L W
4	Independência	10	4	3	3	17:10	7	15	D W W W L
5	Galvez	10	3	1	6	14:31	-17	10	L L L W L
6	Humaitá	10	0	0	10	4:50	-46	0	L L L L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 3

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Gama	10	8	2	0	23:6	17	26	D W W W W
2	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11:10	1	15	W D W L L
3	Brasiliense	10	3	5	2	11:10	1	14	W D W L L
4	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13	D D L D W
5	Primavera MG	10	3	3	4	10:13	-3	12	L D L W W
6	Inhumas	10	0	1	9	3:20	-17	1	L L L D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 4

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Capital Brasilia	10	7	2	1	16:6	10	23	W W D W W
2	Goiatuba EC	10	5	4	1	13:7	6	19	W D D L D
3	Ceilândia	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12	D D W L L
4	Mixto	10	2	6	2	10:9	1	12	D D D W L
5	União Rondonópolis	10	2	3	5	11:18	-7	9	L D L W D
6	CEOV Operário	10	1	2	7	7:16	-9	5	L L D L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 5

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Trem	10	6	2	2	19:13	6	20	W L W W L
2	Águia de Marabá	10	5	3	2	20:11	9	18	L W W L W
3	Imperatriz	10	4	3	3	15:10	5	15	W W L L W
4	Tuna Luso	10	3	4	3	14:17	-3	13	L W D W L
5	Tocantinópolis	10	3	3	4	18:18	0	12	W L L W W
6	Oratório	10	1	1	8	12:29	-17	4	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 6

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Iguatu	10	5	5	0	14:7	7	20	W D D D W
2	Maracanã	10	5	4	1	12:6	6	19	W W W D D
3	Parnahyba	10	4	2	4	11:13	-2	14	W D L L W
4	Sampaio Correa	10	3	4	3	12:6	6	13	L W W W D
5	Moto Club	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9	L L L D L
6	IAPE	10	0	4	6	10:20	-10	4	L L D D L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 7

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Ferroviario	10	6	3	1	15:7	8	21	W D W W D
2	Piauí	10	5	2	3	14:11	3	17	W W L W D
3	Fluminense PI	10	3	5	2	12:9	3	14	L D W D L
4	Altos	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11	W D L L L
5	WSG Wattens	10	2	4	4	10:10	0	10	L D W D W
6	Uniclinic Atletico Clube	10	1	4	5	6:14	-8	7	L L L L W

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)

Group 8

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	ABC	10	7	2	1	15:6	9	23	W W D W W
2	America-RN	10	6	3	1	14:3	11	21	W W D W D
3	Maguary PE	10	3	4	3	8:5	3	13	L W D D D
4	Central SC	10	3	4	3	8:7	1	13	W L D D L
5	Sousa	10	3	1	6	4:11	-7	10	L L D L W
6	Laguna	10	0	2	8	3:20	-17	2	L L D L L

Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)