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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
06.09.2026 21:00
Estadio Jocay
Referee: Anthony Diaz, Ecuador
Delfin SC
Match Timeline
Universidad Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
G. Anangono ↔ D. Nazareno
Universidad Catolica
🔄
46'
J. Arce ↔ K. Ushina
Delfin SC
🔄
46'
B. Pena ↔ T. Ozaeta
Delfin SC
🔄
65'
B. Palacios ↔ J. Fajardo
Universidad Catolica
🔄
65'
J. Evans ↔ A. Londono
Universidad Catolica
🔄
70'
D. Luna ↔ L. Cornejo
Delfin SC
🔄
71'
J. Morocho ↔ E. Espinoza
Delfin SC
🔄
72'
M. Alonso ↔ E. Mejia
Universidad Catolica
🔄
73'
A. Rodriguez ↔ M. Diaz
Universidad Catolica
⚽
87'
E. Mejia · Assist: A. Londono
Universidad Catolica

Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds 2.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.6%
2.10 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.11 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.4%
1.32 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 25%
Draw 15.5%
Universidad Catolica Win 59.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.82
Universidad Catolica1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
19 GF / 29 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
53 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.66
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
9
BTTS Yes
17
7
Over 2.5
15
3.14
Shots on Goal
4.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 29 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 31 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Universidad Catolica
8 Wins 13
6 Draws 9
15 Losses 9
19 Goals For 53
29 Goals Against 33
0.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
9 BTTS Yes 17
10 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 5
3.14 Shots On Goal 4.93
11 Total Shots 14.3
3.5 Corners 4.5
40.4% Ball Possession 58.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universidad Catolica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 44 points while Delfin SC sit 15 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad Catolica. Delfin SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC sit 15 with 24 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 17:29 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Kevin Ushiña (2 assists), Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 44 points after 27 matches. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 47:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Fajardo (8 goals), D. Clavijo (5 goals), M. Alonso (4 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (10 assists), J. Fajardo (3 assists), D. Clavijo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 4 times, Universidad Catolica won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Delfin SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-2-3-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 4, draws 6, Universidad Catolica wins 5

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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