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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
09.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Jocay

Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 25.2%
Draw 20.4%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.9
Mushuc Runa SC1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
21 GF / 32 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WLDWL
36 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.66
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
11
BTTS Yes
18
7
Over 2.5
15
3.23
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 32 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 31 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
8 Wins 9
8 Draws 12
16 Losses 10
21 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 39
0.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
11 BTTS Yes 18
12 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 8
3.23 Shots On Goal 3.65
11.13 Total Shots 12.52
3.74 Corners 4.87
41.1% Ball Possession 48.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Delfin SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mushuc Runa SC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC sit 15 with 28 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats with a 19:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Ushiña (2 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (2 assists), E. Mendoza (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

So far, Mushuc Runa SC have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 38 points from 30 matches. The record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:38 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Carrillo (6 goals), Alex Renato Ibarra Mina (5 goals), Cristopher Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Arnaldo Zambrano (3 assists), R. Carrillo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-4-2 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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