Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.1%
|
2.17 | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.54 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
72.2%
|
1.13 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
8.00 |
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Defensa Y Justicia
29 matches
San Lorenzo
29 matches
| Defensa Y Justicia | Statistic | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 35 | Goals For | 25 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.35 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 10.44 |
| 4.27 | Corners | 3.63 |
| 51.9% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward San Lorenzo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Defensa Y Justicia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and San Lorenzo in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Lorenzo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Defensa Y Justicia are currently 10 in the standings with 19 points from 16 matches. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through David Barbona (3 goals), Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 goals), Ayrton Portillo (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (3 assists), César Pérez (3 assists), David Barbona (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, San Lorenzo have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Rodrigo Auzmendi (4 goals), Alexis Cuello (2 goals), Ezequiel Herrera (1 goals), with creative support from Matias Reali (1 assists), Facundo Gulli (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 7 times, San Lorenzo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Away
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Defensa Y Justicia
Home
|
16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
D
L
D
D
|