Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- |
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Danubio
11 matches
Deportivo Maldonado
11 matches
| Danubio | Statistic | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 14 | Goals For | 19 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Maldonado's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Maldonado. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Danubio expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Deportivo Maldonado in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Maldonado having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Maldonado carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 22 points while Danubio sit 10 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Danubio sit 10 with 14 points after 11 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Cabrera (3 goals), S. Fernandez (3 goals), M. Ferreira (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Deportivo Maldonado come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 22 points after 11 matches. With 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. M. Noble Sequeira (6 goals), Christian Tabó (2 goals), M. Espindola (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 3 times, Deportivo Maldonado won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Danubio's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Lineups
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
CA River Plate
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Miramar
Danubio
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo