URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: E. Ostojich
Danubio
Match Timeline
Albion FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
S. Rodriguez
Danubio
🟨
32'
S. Costa
Albion FC
🔄
42'
E. Velazquez ↔ J. Pereyra
Danubio
45'
A. Lopez · Assist: S. Costa
Albion FC
🔄
52'
I. Rossi ↔ E. Femia
Danubio
🔄
52'
D. Garcia ↔ E. Cabrera
Danubio
🔄
61'
S. Costa ↔ P. Alcoba
Albion FC
🔄
64'
N. Azambuja ↔ B. Pereira
Danubio
🔄
64'
M. Ferreira ↔ D. Piriz
Danubio
🟨
68'
D. Piriz
Danubio
🟨
71'
B. Pereira
Danubio
🟨
78'
L. Sosa
Danubio
🟨
83'
A. Velazquez
Danubio
🔄
83'
A. Lopez ↔ T. Figueroa
Albion FC
🟨
87'
A. Vera
Albion FC
🔄
90'
C. Airala ↔ M. de los Santos
Albion FC
🔄
90'
J. Alvarez ↔ F. Puente
Albion FC
🔄
90'
H. Toledo ↔ N. Roldan
Albion FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Danubio Win 34.1%
Draw 3.7%
Albion FC Win 62.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Danubio1.18
Albion FC1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Danubio Danubio
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
Albion FC Albion FC
WLDWL
25 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
8
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Danubio Danubio 14 matches
Albion FC Albion FC 14 matches
Danubio Statistic Albion FC
4 Wins 7
6 Draws 4
4 Losses 3
17 Goals For 25
20 Goals Against 16
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
8 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Albion FC's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Albion FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Albion FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Albion FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Danubio Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Danubio have collected 18 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:20 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Cabrera (4 goals), S. Fernandez (4 goals), Mateo Peralta (3 goals), with creative support from M. Jourdan (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Albion FC Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 25 points from 14 games, Albion FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 25:16 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Lopez (12 goals), C. Airala (4 goals), F. Ginella (3 goals), with creative support from A. Lopez (1 assists), C. Airala (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Danubio won 2 times, Albion FC won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Danubio's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Danubio 4-5-1 / Albion FC -
H2H summary: Danubio wins 2, draws 0, Albion FC wins 3

Lineups

Danubio
Formation
Albion FC
M. Goicoechea
M. Goicoechea
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
E. Velazquez
E. Velazquez
L. Sosa
L. Sosa
C. Mayada
C. Mayada
S. Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
I. Rossi
I. Rossi
A. Velazquez
A. Velazquez
M. Peralta
M. Peralta
M. Ferreira
M. Ferreira
N. Azambuja
N. Azambuja
S. Jaume
S. Jaume
T. Moschion
T. Moschion
F. Couture
F. Couture
E. Burdin
E. Burdin
J. Alvarez
J. Alvarez
F. Ginella
F. Ginella
S. Costa
🎯
S. Costa
C. Airala
C. Airala
H. Toledo
H. Toledo
A. Vera
A. Vera
A. Lopez
A. Lopez
Danubio 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Goicoechea
23
D. Garcia
↓ 52'
2
E. Velazquez
↓ 42'
6
L. Sosa
🟨 78'
18
C. Mayada
8
S. Rodriguez
🟨 26'
16
I. Rossi
↓ 52'
17
A. Velazquez
🟨 83'
10
M. Peralta
20
M. Ferreira
↓ 64'
21
N. Azambuja
↓ 64'
Substitutes
32
K. Martinez
3
J. Pereyra
↑ 42'
25
F. Cabrera
40
F. Balatti
15
E. Figueroa
22
A. Montana
28
E. Femia
↑ 52'
7
E. Cabrera
↑ 52'
14
B. Pereira
↑ 64' 🟨 71'
26
D. Piriz
↑ 64' 🟨 68'
Albion FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Jaume
6
T. Moschion
2
F. Couture
24
E. Burdin
16
J. Alvarez
↓ 90'
5
F. Ginella
27
S. Costa
🎯 45' ↓ 61' 🟨 32'
10
C. Airala
↓ 90'
11
H. Toledo
↓ 90'
22
A. Vera
🟨 87'
9
A. Lopez
⚽ 45' ↓ 83'
Substitutes
31
D. Lerda
13
P. Lacoste
17
M. de los Santos
↑ 90'
29
F. Puente
↑ 90'
34
A. Pereira
15
P. Alcoba
↑ 61'
18
B. Acosta
32
T. Figueroa
↑ 83'
80
Leonardo Pais
79
N. Roldan
↑ 90'
Last matches: Danubio
05.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
1
1
D
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
15.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
2
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
Last matches: Albion FC
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H: Danubio vs Albion FC
09.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
3
0
W
27.05.22
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
1
2
W
31.10.21
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
2
1
L
22.07.21
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
2
L
Last matches: Danubio
05.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
2
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Danubio
CA River Plate
0
1
L
12.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
5
1
W
31.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Miramar
2
3
L
10.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
2
1
W
H2H at home: Danubio
09.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
16.10.22
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
3
0
W
22.07.21
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
2
L
Last matches: Albion FC
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
H2H away: Albion FC
09.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
3
0
L
22.07.21
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
2
W