CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dalian Zhixing Win 40.8%
Draw 10.9%
Beijing Guoan Win 48.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dalian Zhixing1.36
Beijing Guoan1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
WWDLW
36 GF / 43 GA
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WLDWL
48 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
2
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
16
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 26 matches
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 24 matches
Dalian Zhixing Statistic Beijing Guoan
11 Wins 11
3 Draws 8
12 Losses 5
36 Goals For 48
43 Goals Against 32
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
16 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.67
13.5 Total Shots 15.79
5.79 Corners 6.29
46% Ball Possession 60.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Beijing Guoan's more proactive style and Dalian Zhixing's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Beijing Guoan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dalian Zhixing expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beijing Guoan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beijing Guoan having the stronger overall control. Beijing Guoan look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Dalian Zhixing Analysis

From their first 23 matches, Dalian Zhixing have collected 33 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 34:40 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nicolae Stanciu (1 goals), Yang Mingrui (1 goals), Isnik Alimi (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolae Stanciu (2 assists), Yang Mingrui (1 assists), Cephas Malele (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

Beijing Guoan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 35 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 45:29 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Fabio Abreu (3 goals), Zhang Yuning (3 goals), Dawhan (3 goals), with creative support from Fabio Abreu (2 assists), Zhang Yuning (1 assists), Sai Erjini'ao (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dalian Zhixing won 0 times, Beijing Guoan won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from Dalian Zhixing's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
Predicted formations: Dalian Zhixing 4-2-3-1 / Beijing Guoan 4-4-2
H2H summary: Dalian Zhixing wins 0, draws 1, Beijing Guoan wins 3
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
23.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
19.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
15.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
08.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
31.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
1
1
D
26.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
2
3
L
18.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
3
1
W
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
0
1
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
19.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
06.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
22.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
10.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
3
0
W
Last matches: Beijing Guoan
22.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
18.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
3
0
W
15.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
4
2
W
07.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
2
1
W
26.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
2
2
D
17.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
1
1
D
04.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
2
0
W
27.06.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
1
0
W
30.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
2
W
23.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
19.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
4
2
W
10.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
06.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
2
4
L
21.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
17.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
H2H: Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan
06.05.26
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
3
0
L
26.09.25
H2H
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
4
2
L
21.06.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
2
L
Last matches: Dalian Zhixing
08.08.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
3
1
W
04.07.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
3
2
W
28.06.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
1
4
L
23.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
2
0
W
15.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
01.05.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
1
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
10.04.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
3
0
W
20.03.26
Sup
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
0
W
H2H at home: Dalian Zhixing
21.06.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
2
L
Last matches: Beijing Guoan
18.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
3
0
W
15.08.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
4
2
W
26.07.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
2
2
D
30.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
3
2
W
19.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
3
3
D
21.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
0
W
17.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
2
0
W
H2H away: Beijing Guoan
21.06.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
0
2
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 6 4 49:29 20 48
L W L D D
2 24 11 8 5 48:32 16 36
D W W W W
3 24 8 12 4 28:29 -1 36
W D D W W
4 24 11 3 10 35:40 -5 36
W D L W D
5 24 10 5 9 49:45 4 35
D W W L W
6 24 12 3 9 42:40 2 33
L W W W L
7 24 7 9 8 25:28 -3 30
L D L L L
8 24 9 7 8 39:33 6 29
W D W W L
9 24 11 5 8 47:42 5 28
W L W W L
10 24 8 3 13 33:43 -10 27
D W L W L
11 23 8 6 9 34:40 -6 25
D L L W D
12 23 7 4 12 33:39 -6 25
D L L W L
13 23 8 6 9 31:33 -2 24
D L D D W
14 23 7 7 9 32:30 2 18
D L L W W
15 22 4 9 9 30:38 -8 16
D L D W W
16 24 6 3 15 32:46 -14 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation