Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
89.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dalian Zhixing
26 matches
Beijing Guoan
24 matches
| Dalian Zhixing | Statistic | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 11 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 5 |
| 36 | Goals For | 48 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 5.67 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 15.79 |
| 5.79 | Corners | 6.29 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 60.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Beijing Guoan's more proactive style and Dalian Zhixing's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Beijing Guoan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dalian Zhixing expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beijing Guoan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beijing Guoan having the stronger overall control. Beijing Guoan look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
From their first 23 matches, Dalian Zhixing have collected 33 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 34:40 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nicolae Stanciu (1 goals), Yang Mingrui (1 goals), Isnik Alimi (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolae Stanciu (2 assists), Yang Mingrui (1 assists), Cephas Malele (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Beijing Guoan approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 35 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 45:29 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Fabio Abreu (3 goals), Zhang Yuning (3 goals), Dawhan (3 goals), with creative support from Fabio Abreu (2 assists), Zhang Yuning (1 assists), Sai Erjini'ao (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Dalian Zhixing won 0 times, Beijing Guoan won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from Dalian Zhixing's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
Tianjin Teda
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Dalian Zhixing
Shenyang Urban
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing
Wuhan Three Towns
Dalian Zhixing
Shanghai Shenhua
Dalian Zhixing
Chengdu Better City
Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
Dalian Zhixing
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
Henan Jianye
Dalian Zhixing
Hangzhou Greentown
Dalian Zhixing
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49:29 | 20 | 48 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Beijing Guoan
Away
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48:32 | 16 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28:29 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dalian Zhixing
Home
|
24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 36 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 5 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 35 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47:42 | 5 | 28 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 27 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:40 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33:39 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 24 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 18 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30:38 | -8 | 16 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|