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26.04.2026 16:30
La Portada
Referee: Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz, Chile
D. La Serena
Match Timeline
Huachipato
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Francis Mac Allister
D. La Serena
🔄
34'
Federico Lanzillota ↔ Eryin Sanhueza
D. La Serena
🔄
46'
Bruno Gutiérrez ↔ Joaquín Gutiérrez
D. La Serena
🟨
55'
Francis Mac Allister
D. La Serena
🟥
55'
Francis Mac Allister
D. La Serena
🔄
62'
Juan Figueroa ↔ Harold Antiñirre
Huachipato
🔄
62'
Lucas Velásquez ↔ Mario Briceño
Huachipato
🟨
63'
Harold Antiñirre
Huachipato
🟨
68'
Joaquín Gutiérrez
D. La Serena
🔄
69'
Nicolás Stefanelli ↔ Andrés Zanini
D. La Serena
🔄
69'
Jeisson Vargas ↔ Sebastián Díaz
D. La Serena
🔄
83'
Diego Rubio ↔ Angelo Henriquez
D. La Serena
🔄
83'
Maximiliano Rodríguez ↔ Ezequiel Cañete
Huachipato
🔄
83'
Claudio Sepulveda ↔ Maicol León
Huachipato
🔄
87'
Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil ↔ Kevin Altez
Huachipato
🟨
89'
Lionel Altamirano
Huachipato
VAR
90+2'
Angelo Henriquez
D. La Serena
VAR
90+9'
Kevin Altez
Huachipato

D. La Serena vs Huachipato Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
D. La Serena Win 34.1%
Draw 10.2%
Huachipato Win 55.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. La Serena1.34
Huachipato1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. La Serena D. La Serena
WWDLW
15 GF / 17 GA
Huachipato Huachipato
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
8
3.9
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. La Serena D. La Serena 11 matches
Huachipato Huachipato 13 matches
D. La Serena Statistic Huachipato
3 Wins 6
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
15 Goals For 19
17 Goals Against 17
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
3.9 Shots On Goal 5.25
10.5 Total Shots 13.25
4.2 Corners 4
49.2% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Huachipato's more proactive style and D. La Serena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with D. La Serena expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Huachipato in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huachipato having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Huachipato. Huachipato carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 18 points while D. La Serena sit 11 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

D. La Serena Analysis

From their first 10 matches, D. La Serena have collected 13 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Vargas (5 goals), F. Chamorro (3 goals), Diego Rubio (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Rubio (3 assists), J. Vargas (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Huachipato Analysis

Huachipato approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 18 points after 10 outings. With 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:12, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Altamirano (4 goals), C. Martinez (3 goals), M. Gutierrez (3 goals), with creative support from M. Rodriguez (3 assists), Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil (2 assists), L. Altamirano (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, D. La Serena won 2 times, Huachipato won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from D. La Serena's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.8%)
Predicted formations: D. La Serena 4-1-4-1 / Huachipato 4-3-3
H2H summary: D. La Serena wins 2, draws 4, Huachipato wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 3 4 50:27 23 54
L D D W W
2 24 13 6 5 41:19 22 45
W W W L L
3 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
4 24 11 6 7 40:27 13 39
W W L W W
5 24 11 4 9 38:35 3 37
D L W L W
6 24 10 4 10 45:37 8 34
D L W W L
7 23 9 5 9 36:33 3 32
W L L L W
8 24 9 5 10 26:27 -1 32
D D L W D
9 24 8 8 8 28:37 -9 32
L L L L L
10 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W W D L
11 24 7 9 8 36:41 -5 30
L L W W D
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 24 4 6 14 20:41 -21 18
D W L L D