CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
La Portada
Referee: Cristian Galaz Sepulveda, Chile
D. La Serena
Match Timeline
Deportes Limache
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
N. Stefanelli · Assist: A. Henriquez
D. La Serena
🟨
23'
Gonzalo Escalante
D. La Serena
🔄
34'
N. Stefanelli ↔ F. Chamorro
D. La Serena
🔄
46'
F. Moya ↔ G. Sosa
Deportes Limache
54'
F. Chamorro · Assist: J. Vargas
D. La Serena
56'
D. Rubio · Assist: J. Vargas
D. La Serena
58'
R. Delgado
Deportes Limache
🔄
62'
A. Henriquez ↔ J. Gutierrez
D. La Serena
🟨
67'
Felipe Chamorro
D. La Serena
VAR
78'
Joaquín Gutiérrez
D. La Serena
🔄
82'
M. Llanten ↔ J. Montecinos
Deportes Limache
84'
F. Chamorro
D. La Serena
🔄
90+2'
R. Delgado ↔ M. Marin
D. La Serena
🔄
90+2'
D. Rubio ↔ M. Pinto
D. La Serena
🔄
90+2'
G. Escalante ↔ B. Contreras
D. La Serena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
D. La Serena Win 45.1%
Draw 0%
Deportes Limache Win 54.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
D. La Serena1.17
Deportes Limache1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
D. La Serena D. La Serena
WWDLW
16 GF / 22 GA
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
WLDWL
25 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
8
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

D. La Serena D. La Serena 13 matches
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 12 matches
D. La Serena Statistic Deportes Limache
3 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 3
16 Goals For 25
22 Goals Against 13
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.67
10.17 Total Shots 11.58
4.42 Corners 3.5
50.3% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportes Limache's more proactive style and D. La Serena's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with D. La Serena expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportes Limache in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportes Limache having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportes Limache. Deportes Limache carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 21 points while D. La Serena sit 12 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

D. La Serena Analysis

D. La Serena sit 12 with 14 points after 12 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Vargas (5 goals), F. Chamorro (3 goals), A. Henriquez (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Rubio (3 assists), J. Vargas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Limache Analysis

Deportes Limache come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 21 points from 12 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 25:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Castro (8 goals), Jean David (4 goals), G. Sosa (3 goals), with creative support from Jean David (7 assists), D. Castro (5 assists), Y. Gonzalez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, D. La Serena won 2 times, Deportes Limache won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from D. La Serena's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: D. La Serena 4-1-4-1 / Deportes Limache 4-3-3
H2H summary: D. La Serena wins 2, draws 1, Deportes Limache wins 4
Stats
D. La Serena D. La Serena
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
302 Total passes 453
235 Passes accurate 374
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

D. La Serena
Formation
Deportes Limache
F. Lanzillotta
F. Lanzillotta
B. Gutierrez
B. Gutierrez
F. Mac Allister
F. Mac Allister
R. Delgado
R. Delgado
Y. Salazar
Y. Salazar
S. Diaz
S. Diaz
A. Henriquez
🎯
A. Henriquez
N. Stefanelli
N. Stefanelli
G. Escalante
G. Escalante
J. Vargas
🎯
J. Vargas
D. Rubio
D. Rubio
M. Borquez
M. Borquez
M. Llanten
M. Llanten
A. Aguirre
A. Aguirre
A. Parot
A. Parot
M. Flores
M. Flores
F. Moya
F. Moya
C. Fuentes
C. Fuentes
Jean David
Jean David
C. Morales
C. Morales
M. Arturia
M. Arturia
D. Castro
D. Castro
D. La Serena 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
F. Lanzillotta
G
21
B. Gutierrez
D
4
F. Mac Allister
D
33
R. Delgado
⚽ 58' ↓ 90+2'
D
17
Y. Salazar
D
6
S. Diaz
9
A. Henriquez
🎯 19' ↓ 62'
M
34
N. Stefanelli
⚽ 19' ↓ 34'
M
8
G. Escalante
↓ 90+2' 🟨 23'
M
10
J. Vargas
🎯 54' 🎯 56'
M
11
D. Rubio
⚽ 56' ↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
22
E. A. Sanhueza Mora
16
J. Gutierrez
↑ 62'
D
28
J. Orellana
23
M. Marin
↑ 90+2'
M
14
F. Chamorro
⚽ 54' ⚽ 84' ↑ 34' 🟨 67'
M
29
M. Pinto
↑ 90+2'
D
26
F. Dinamarca
D
15
B. Contreras
↑ 90+2'
F
20
M. Velasquez
M
Deportes Limache 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
M. Borquez
25
M. Llanten
↓ 82'
2
A. Aguirre
D
24
A. Parot
D
4
M. Flores
D
21
F. Moya
↓ 46'
M
6
C. Fuentes
M
16
Jean David
M
7
C. Morales
26
M. Arturia
F
19
D. Castro
F
Substitutes
17
C. Gonzalez
G
8
J. Montecinos
↑ 82'
F
3
B. Molina
D
15
V. Alvarez
F
9
G. Sosa
↑ 46'
F
11
F. Marin
M
28
V. Vargas
M
29
F. Oyarzun
M
Last matches: D. La Serena
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
01.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
21.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
16.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Palestino
1
5
L
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Concepción
3
3
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
0
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Nublense
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
2
3
L
Last matches: Deportes Limache
06.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
4
1
W
01.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Deportes Iquique
1
4
L
23.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Concepción
2
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Palestino
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Cobresal
5
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Everton de Vina
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Huachipato
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
O'Higgins
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Nublense
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Colo Colo
3
1
W
H2H: D. La Serena vs Deportes Limache
24.05.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
06.12.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
1
0
L
12.10.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
1
6
L
07.09.25
H2H
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
2
0
L
22.06.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
2
0
W
30.04.24
H2H
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
1
0
L
Last matches: D. La Serena
05.07.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
2
4
L
28.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
D. La Serena
Cobresal
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
2
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Huachipato
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
D. La Serena
Cobresal
2
3
L
H2H at home: D. La Serena
24.05.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
12.10.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
1
6
L
22.06.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
2
0
W
Last matches: Deportes Limache
23.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Concepción
2
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Palestino
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Cobresal
5
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Everton de Vina
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
08.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Nublense
1
1
D
H2H away: Deportes Limache
24.05.26
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
4
1
L
12.10.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
1
6
W
22.06.25
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
2
0
L

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso