Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
81.7%
|
1.18 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.72 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
D. La Serena
Cobresal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
D. La Serena
26 matches
Cobresal
26 matches
| D. La Serena | Statistic | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 4 |
| 10 | Losses | 17 |
| 37 | Goals For | 29 |
| 44 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.05 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 14.16 |
| 4.05 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cobresal. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with D. La Serena expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cobresal in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cobresal having the stronger overall control. Cobresal arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
D. La Serena sit 10 with 23 points after 19 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 28:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jeisson Vargas (4 goals), Felipe Chamorro (3 goals), Diego Rubio (2 goals), with creative support from Jeisson Vargas (4 assists), Bruno Gutiérrez (2 assists), Felipe Chamorro (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Cobresal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 26:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Steffan Pino (5 goals), Julián Brea (4 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, D. La Serena won 5 times, Cobresal won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from D. La Serena's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
Palestino
D. La Serena
Huachipato
D. La Serena
Concepción
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
Nublense
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
Cobresal
Concepción
Cobresal
U. Catolica
Cobresal
Union La Calera
Cobresal
Huachipato
Cobresal
Antofagasta
Cobresal
Cobreloa
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobresal
Antofagasta
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobresal
Cobreloa
Cobresal
Colo Colo
Cobresal
Nublense
Cobresal
A. Italiano
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
Cobresal
O'Higgins
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
Cobresal
Palestino
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
Huachipato
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
Santiago Wanderers
D. La Serena
San Luis
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
San Marcos de Arica
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
U. Catolica
Cobresal
Huachipato
Cobresal
Antofagasta
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobresal
Cobreloa
Cobresal
Colo Colo
Cobresal
A. Italiano
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
Palestino
Cobresal
Concepción
Cobresal
Union La Calera
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
Cobresal
Provincial Ovalle
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 30 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
D. La Serena
Home
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 23 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 21 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Cobresal
Away
|
19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 13 |
L
L
L
D
D
|