CHILE PRIMERA B
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Estadio Bicentenario La Granja

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Curico Unido Win 32.8%
Draw 24.4%
Recoleta Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Curico Unido1.24
Recoleta1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Curico Unido Curico Unido
WWDLW
29 GF / 40 GA
Recoleta Recoleta
WLDWL
37 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
16
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Curico Unido Curico Unido 27 matches
Recoleta Recoleta 26 matches
Curico Unido Statistic Recoleta
7 Wins 9
11 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
29 Goals For 37
40 Goals Against 39
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
16 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Recoleta's more proactive style and Curico Unido's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Curico Unido have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Recoleta. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Curico Unido Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 13, Curico Unido still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 18:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Recoleta Analysis

From their first 21 matches, Recoleta have collected 30 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 32:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Curico Unido won 1 times, Recoleta won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Curico Unido's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.6%)
H2H summary: Curico Unido wins 1, draws 3, Recoleta wins 1
Last matches: Curico Unido
17.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Copiapo
0
4
L
14.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Rangers de Talca
0
0
D
04.08.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
3
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Cobreloa
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Luis
1
2
L
05.07.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
2
2
D
28.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
21.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
1
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Temuco
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Antofagasta
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Santiago Wanderers
0
3
L
12.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Union Espanola
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
D. Puerto Montt
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Recoleta
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Union San Felipe
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
4
L
Last matches: Recoleta
22.08.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Copiapo
2
1
W
18.08.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
12.08.26
Pri
Recoleta
Rangers de Talca
4
2
W
08.08.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union San Felipe
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
0
1
L
27.07.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union Espanola
1
2
L
06.07.26
Cop
Recoleta
Colo Colo
2
2
D
28.06.26
Cop
Recoleta
O'Higgins
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Recoleta
Colo Colo
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
San Luis
0
0
D
21.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Cobreloa
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Magallanes
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
0
W
05.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Antofagasta
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Curico Unido
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Copiapo
4
2
W
27.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Temuco
1
5
L
21.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Rangers de Talca
4
2
W
H2H: Curico Unido vs Recoleta
18.04.26
H2H
Recoleta
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.10.25
H2H
Recoleta
Curico Unido
1
1
D
14.06.25
H2H
Curico Unido
Recoleta
1
1
D
05.08.24
H2H
Curico Unido
Recoleta
1
0
W
23.03.24
H2H
Recoleta
Curico Unido
2
1
L
Last matches: Curico Unido
14.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Cobreloa
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Luis
1
2
L
28.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
21.06.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
1
0
W
01.06.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Antofagasta
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Santiago Wanderers
0
3
L
12.05.26
Pri
Curico Unido
San Marcos de Arica
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Curico Unido
D. Puerto Montt
2
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Deportes Copiapo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pri
Curico Unido
Magallanes
1
2
L
01.02.26
Cop
Curico Unido
Rangers de Talca
0
1
L
09.07.25
Cop
Curico Unido
A. Italiano
0
1
L
08.06.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Chile
2
1
W
10.05.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Nublense
2
1
W
05.04.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
08.02.25
Cop
Curico Unido
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
23.06.24
Cop
Curico Unido
Magallanes
1
0
W
21.08.22
Cop
Curico Unido
Antofagasta
2
1
W
H2H at home: Curico Unido
14.06.25
H2H
Curico Unido
Recoleta
1
1
D
05.08.24
H2H
Curico Unido
Recoleta
1
0
W
Last matches: Recoleta
18.08.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union San Felipe
0
0
D
27.07.26
Pri
Recoleta
Union Espanola
1
2
L
06.07.26
Cop
Recoleta
Colo Colo
2
2
D
28.06.26
Cop
Recoleta
O'Higgins
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
Magallanes
2
3
L
05.05.26
Pri
Recoleta
San Marcos de Arica
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Recoleta
Deportes Copiapo
4
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
Rangers de Talca
4
2
W
08.03.26
Pri
Recoleta
D. Puerto Montt
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Recoleta
Santiago Wanderers
2
0
W
08.02.26
Cop
Recoleta
Union Espanola
2
1
W
09.05.25
Cop
Recoleta
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
23.03.25
Cop
Recoleta
Magallanes
0
2
L
04.03.25
Cop
Recoleta
Santiago Morning
0
1
L
28.03.22
Cop
Recoleta
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
H2H away: Recoleta
14.06.25
H2H
Curico Unido
Recoleta
1
1
D
05.08.24
H2H
Curico Unido
Recoleta
1
0
L

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 10 8 3 38:23 15 38
L W D D D
2 20 9 8 3 36:21 15 35
D D D W W
3 21 10 5 6 37:35 2 35
W W D W W
4 21 10 4 7 29:27 2 34
W W W L L
5 20 8 8 4 31:25 6 32
W D D D W
6 20 8 7 5 33:21 12 31
D D W W L
7 21 9 4 8 22:24 -2 31
L D L D W
8 21 7 9 5 25:18 7 30
L L L D D
9 21 8 6 7 32:31 1 30
W D W D L
10 21 8 6 7 31:31 0 30
L W L D W
11 21 5 10 6 31:26 5 25
W D W D D
12 20 6 7 7 32:29 3 25
D D L L L
13 20 4 8 8 18:32 -14 20
L L D D L
14 20 5 5 10 15:35 -20 20
L W D L L
15 21 3 7 11 24:37 -13 16
L L W D L
16 21 1 6 14 18:37 -19 9
W L L D D