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CHILE › PRIMERA B
14.08.2026 00:30
Estadio Bicentenario La Granja
Curico Unido
Match Timeline
Deportes Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
G. Sarria
Curico Unido
⚽
41'
N. Barrios
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
45+1'
N. Barrios
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
A. E. Ramirez Cuevas ↔ N. Fernandez
Curico Unido
🔄
46'
J. Romo ↔ E. Ormeno
Curico Unido
🔄
46'
B. Inostroza ↔ M. Lopes Acevedo
Curico Unido
⚽
58'
L. Benegas
Curico Unido
🟨
60'
F. Orellana
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟥
63'
L. Lopez
Curico Unido
🔄
68'
F. Orellana ↔ C. Castillo
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
68'
N. Barrios ↔ P. Brito
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
76'
L. Benegas ↔ F. Oliver
Curico Unido
🟨
78'
N. Fernandez
Curico Unido
🔄
80'
I. Quiroz ↔ C. Moreno
Deportes Santa Cruz
⚽
88'
D. Arias
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟥
90+7'
N. Fernandez
Curico Unido
🔄
90+2'
D. Arias ↔ N. Zeineddin
Deportes Santa Cruz

Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Curico Unido Win 47.3%
Draw 16.4%
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Curico Unido1.31
Deportes Santa Cruz1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Curico Unido Curico Unido
WWDLW
28 GF / 34 GA
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WLDWL
35 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
15
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Curico Unido Curico Unido 25 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 25 matches
Curico Unido Statistic Deportes Santa Cruz
7 Wins 7
11 Draws 8
7 Losses 10
28 Goals For 35
34 Goals Against 40
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
15 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportes Santa Cruz. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Curico Unido Analysis

Curico Unido are currently 12 in the standings with 19 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 17:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

With 12 points from 17 games and a place of 15, Deportes Santa Cruz still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Curico Unido won 1 times, Deportes Santa Cruz won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:14 from Curico Unido's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
H2H summary: Curico Unido wins 1, draws 1, Deportes Santa Cruz wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 27 13 7 7 44:39 5 46
W W W D D
4 27 12 8 7 42:30 12 44
L L L L W
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 27 11 8 8 39:36 3 41
L W D W W
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 27 9 8 10 42:37 5 35
W L D W L
11 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 27 7 9 11 24:40 -16 30
W L L W L
14 27 4 10 13 28:42 -14 22
L L D W D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W