Cuiaba vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.19 | |
| BTTS | No |
56%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
69.2%
|
1.90 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.57 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
7.00 |
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cuiaba
30 matches
Ponte Preta
30 matches
| Cuiaba | Statistic | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 3 |
| 13 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 23 |
| 30 | Goals For | 17 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.57 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.13 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.17 |
| 13.4 | Total Shots | 10.47 |
| 5.17 | Corners | 4.27 |
| 47.4% | Ball Possession | 41.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cuiaba's more proactive style and Ponte Preta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ponte Preta. Cuiaba arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 43 points compared to Ponte Preta in 20 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Ponte Preta in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
From their first 29 matches, Cuiaba have collected 43 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 30:22 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kauan (4 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Fábio Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Ponte Preta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 13 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats with a 17:62 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Brandão (3 goals), Elvis (2 goals), William Pottker (2 goals), with creative support from Elvis (3 assists), Diego Tavares (3 assists), Brandão (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 2 times, Ponte Preta won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Cuiaba's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 16 | 56 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 48 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 47 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Cuiaba
Home
|
31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:32 | 11 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 42 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 42 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Ponte Preta
Away
|
31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | -49 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|