RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
VEB Arena
Referee: I. Tanashev
CSKA Moscow
Match Timeline
Zenit
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
I. Oblyakov
CSKA Moscow
🟨
19'
Nino
Zenit
30'
I. Diveev · Assist: Pedrinho
Zenit
🟨
46'
Matija Popović
CSKA Moscow
51'
A. Sobolev · Assist: M. Glushenkov
Zenit
🔄
57'
M. Popovic ↔ Matheus Reis
CSKA Moscow
🟨
59'
Milan Gajić
CSKA Moscow
60'
Luiz Henrique · Assist: M. Glushenkov
Zenit
🔄
66'
L. Gondou ↔ Henrique Carmo
CSKA Moscow
🟨
67'
Maksim Glushenkov
Zenit
🟨
76'
Dmitri Barinov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
82'
M. Kislyak ↔ M. Voronov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
82'
I. Oblyakov ↔ Matheus Alves
CSKA Moscow
🔄
82'
T. Musaev ↔ D. Kozlov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
82'
M. Glushenkov ↔ D. Kondakov
Zenit
🔄
88'
Pedrinho ↔ R. Vega
Zenit
🔄
90+3'
A. Sobolev ↔ A. Erokhin
Zenit

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
75.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
CSKA Moscow Win 35.9%
Draw 10.3%
Zenit Win 53.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
CSKA Moscow1.1
Zenit1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WWDLW
38 GF / 28 GA
Zenit Zenit
WLDWL
47 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
14
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
10
4.56
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 27 matches
Zenit Zenit 27 matches
CSKA Moscow Statistic Zenit
13 Wins 17
6 Draws 8
8 Losses 2
38 Goals For 47
28 Goals Against 17
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
14 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 3
4.56 Shots On Goal 4.78
13.96 Total Shots 12.74
5.63 Corners 5.41
57.1% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Zenit. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

So far, CSKA Moscow have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 45 points from 27 matches. The record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 38:28 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Krugovoy (5 goals), Ivan Oblyakov (5 goals), Kirill Glebov (5 goals), with creative support from D. Krugovoy (6 assists), Ivan Oblyakov (5 assists), M. Kislyak (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Zenit Analysis

Zenit come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 59 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses, with a 47:17 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Maksim Glushenkov (9 goals), A. Sobolev (8 goals), A. Mostovoy (6 goals), with creative support from Maksim Glushenkov (5 assists), Luiz Henrique (3 assists), Pedro (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 3 times, Zenit won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 4-2-3-1 / Zenit 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 3, draws 8, Zenit wins 4
Stats
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Zenit Zenit
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 7
16 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Goal 9
4 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 12
7 Shots outsidebox 4
6 Goalkeeper Saves 0
381 Total passes 508
320 Passes accurate 432
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
Formation
Zenit
V. Torop
V. Torop
M. Gajic
M. Gajic
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
K. Danilov
K. Danilov
D. Krugovoy
D. Krugovoy
D. Barinov
D. Barinov
L. Gondou
L. Gondou
I. Oblyakov
I. Oblyakov
M. Kislyak
M. Kislyak
M. Popovic
M. Popovic
T. Musaev
T. Musaev
D. Adamov
D. Adamov
V. Drkusic
V. Drkusic
I. Diveev
I. Diveev
Nino
Nino
D. Santos
D. Santos
W. Barrios
W. Barrios
Wendel
Wendel
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
M. Glushenkov
🎯
M. Glushenkov
Pedrinho
🎯
Pedrinho
A. Sobolev
A. Sobolev
CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
49
V. Torop
G
22
M. Gajic
🟨 59'
D
4
Joao Victor
D
79
K. Danilov
D
3
D. Krugovoy
D
6
D. Barinov
🟨 76'
M
9
L. Gondou
↓ 66'
M
10
I. Oblyakov
⚽ 4' ↓ 82'
M
31
M. Kislyak
↓ 82'
M
20
M. Popovic
↓ 57' 🟨 46'
M
11
T. Musaev
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
85
E. Besaev
G
99
N. Barovskiy
G
97
M. Voronov
↑ 82'
F
7
Matheus Alves
↑ 82'
M
2
Matheus Reis
↑ 57'
D
18
D. Kozlov
↑ 82'
M
67
M. Badmaev
D
52
A. Bandikyan
M
37
Henrique Carmo
↑ 66'
F
62
I. Firov
M
Zenit 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
D. Adamov
G
6
V. Drkusic
D
78
I. Diveev
⚽ 30'
D
33
Nino
🟨 19'
D
3
D. Santos
D
5
W. Barrios
M
8
Wendel
M
11
Luiz Henrique
⚽ 60'
M
10
M. Glushenkov
🎯 51' 🎯 60' ↓ 82' 🟨 67'
M
20
Pedrinho
🎯 30' ↓ 88'
M
7
A. Sobolev
⚽ 51' ↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
57
B. Moskvichev
G
41
M. Kerzhakov
G
21
A. Erokhin
↑ 90+3'
M
17
A. Mostovoy
M
28
N. Alip
D
9
J. Duran
F
15
V. Karavaev
D
23
A. Adamov
D
31
Gustavo Mantuan
M
66
R. Vega
↑ 88'
D
14
Jhon Jhon
M
61
D. Kondakov
↑ 82'
M
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
17.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Rubin
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akron
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
4
L
01.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
18.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
3
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
2
2
D
06.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Samarqand
3
4
L
22.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Akron
3
1
W
07.12.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
Last matches: Zenit
17.05.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Rostov
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Sochi
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Akhmat
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Zenit
Kairat Almaty
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Dynamo
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Zenit
Baltika
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
09.02.26
Fri
Zenit
Dinamo Samarqand
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
03.02.26
Fri
Zenit
Dynamo
2
1
W
26.01.26
Fri
Zenit
SHANGHAI SIPG
6
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Zenit
SHANGHAI SIPG
4
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Zenit
Akron
2
0
W
H2H: CSKA Moscow vs Zenit
02.05.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
L
10.02.26
H2H
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
03.08.25
H2H
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
1
1
D
14.05.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
2
0
W
30.04.25
H2H
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
2
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
04.02.25
H2H
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
2
2
D
14.09.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
0
1
L
15.05.24
H2H
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
CSKA Moscow
0
1
W
02.05.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
1
D
15.07.23
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
CSKA Moscow
0
0
D
19.03.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
0
W
13.08.22
H2H
Zenit Saint Petersburg
CSKA Moscow
2
1
L
Last matches: CSKA Moscow
17.05.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Sochi
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Makhachkala
3
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv
3
2
W
18.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Rostov
3
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
2
2
D
25.01.26
Fri
CSKA Moscow
Dinamo Samarqand
3
4
L
29.11.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Orenburg
2
0
W
31.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov
1
0
W
05.10.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
3
2
W
28.09.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
FC Krasnodar
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akron
3
1
W
09.08.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Rubin
5
1
W
27.07.25
Pre
CSKA Moscow
Akhmat
2
1
W
H2H at home: CSKA Moscow
02.05.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
L
14.05.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
2
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
0
1
L
02.05.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
1
D
03.09.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
1
D
19.03.23
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1
0
W
Last matches: Zenit
17.05.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Rostov
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pre
Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Zenit
Dynamo
3
1
W
08.03.26
Pre
Zenit
FC Orenburg
1
2
L
17.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
0
3
L
23.11.25
Pre
Zenit
Nizhny Novgorod
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Zenit
Krylia Sovetov
1
1
D
19.10.25
Pre
Zenit
FC Sochi
3
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Zenit
Akron
1
1
D
21.09.25
Pre
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Zenit
Baltika
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pre
Zenit
Spartak Moscow
2
2
D
09.08.25
Pre
Zenit
Akhmat
0
1
L
27.07.25
Pre
Zenit
Rubin
2
2
D
H2H away: Zenit
02.05.26
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
3
W
14.05.25
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
2
0
L
14.09.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
0
1
W
02.05.24
H2H
CSKA Moscow
Zenit
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Zenit Away
30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation