RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

15.08.2026 13:15

CSKA Moscow

1 - 0

Fakel

VEB Arena

Referee: Inal Tanashev, Russia

CSKA Moscow

Match Timeline

Fakel

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

VAR

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CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 69.5%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	69.5%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

CSKA Moscow Win 69.5%

Draw 5.4%

Fakel Win 25.2%

Expected Goals (xG)

CSKA Moscow1.48

Fakel1.61

Recent Form (Last 5)

CSKA Moscow

WWDLW

24 GF / 25 GA

Fakel

WLDWL

22 GF / 18 GA

Key Stats

1.6

Average Goals Scored

1.57

1.67

Average Goals Conceded

1.29

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.67

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CSKA Moscow 15 matches

Fakel 14 matches

CSKA Moscow	Statistic	Fakel
4	Wins	4
7	Draws	6
4	Losses	4
24	Goals For	22
25	Goals Against	18
1.6	Avg Goals Scored	1.57
1.67	Avg Goals Conceded	1.29
12	BTTS Yes	10
13	Over 1.5	10
8	Over 2.5	7
7	Over 3.5	5
1	Clean Sheets	3
3	Failed To Score	2
4.67	Shots On Goal	3
16.33	Total Shots	12
3	Corners	7.33
59%	Ball Possession	51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, CSKA Moscow won 6 times, Fakel won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from CSKA Moscow's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)

Predicted formations: CSKA Moscow 4-1-4-1 / Fakel 3-4-3

Missing players: CSKA Moscow 1, Fakel 2

H2H summary: CSKA Moscow wins 6, draws 4, Fakel wins 1

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14:7	7	21	D D D W W
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14:8	6	19	W W W W W
3	CSKA Moscow Home	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19	W D W D W
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16:7	9	19	W W L D W
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19:9	10	18	W W L W L
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12:11	1	12	D D D W D
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15:16	-1	12	L L W L L
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11	L D L W D
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13:14	-1	11	D W D D W
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10	L W D D W
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7:10	-3	9	D L D D D
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10:17	-7	8	L L W L L
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11:18	-7	8	W D D D L
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8:11	-3	7	D L W L L
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5	D L L L L
16	Fakel Away	9	0	3	6	6:13	-7	3	L D L L D

Premier League (Relegation)

Relegation - FNL