Croatia
Match Timeline
Slovenia
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
77.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
80%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Croatia Win 64.6%
Draw 8.7%
Slovenia Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Croatia1.13
Slovenia1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Croatia
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Slovenia
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0.67
Shots on Goal
0.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Croatia
3 matches
Slovenia
3 matches
| Croatia | Statistic | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 3 | Goals For | 4 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0.67 | Shots On Goal | 0.67 |
| 3.33 | Total Shots | 1.67 |
| 1.67 | Corners | 0.33 |
| 36% | Ball Possession | 16% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Croatia won 2 times, Slovenia won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Croatia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Croatia 4-2-3-1 / Slovenia 5-4-1
H2H summary: Croatia wins 2, draws 1, Slovenia wins 1
Stats
Croatia
Slovenia
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
10
10
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
6
6
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Croatia
Formation
Slovenia
D. Livakovic
J. Stanisic
M. Erlic
M. Pongracic
J. Gvardiol
L. Modric
M. Kovacic
M. Pasalic
A. Kramaric
I. Perisic
A. Budimir
J. Oblak
Z. Karnicnik
M. Ratnik
J. Bijol
V. Drkusic
E. Janza
T. Begic
A. Gnezda Cerin
S. Lovric
D. Sturm
Z. Vipotnik
Croatia
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
D. Livakovic
G
2
J. Stanisic
D
🎯 90'
25
M. Erlic
D
↓ 82'
3
M. Pongracic
D
4
J. Gvardiol
D
10
L. Modric
M
⚽ 51'
↓ 58'
8
M. Kovacic
M
↓ 46'
24
M. Pasalic
M
↓ 65'
9
A. Kramaric
M
↓ 46'
14
I. Perisic
M
🎯 51'
↓ 65'
11
A. Budimir
F
↓ 46'
Substitutes
23
D. Kotarski
G
12
I. Pandur
G
5
D. Caleta-Car
D
13
N. Vlasic
M
↑ 65'
7
N. Moro
M
18
K. Jakic
M
6
J. Sutalo
D
↑ 82'
21
L. Sucic
M
↑ 65'
20
I. Matanovic
F
↑ 46'
17
P. Sucic
M
↑ 46'
15
M. Pasalic
M
⚽ 90'
↑ 58'
26
P. Musa
F
19
T. Fruk
M
16
M. Baturina
M
↑ 46'
22
L. Vuskovic
D
Slovenia
5-4-1
Starting XI
1
J. Oblak
G
2
Z. Karnicnik
D
↓ 16'
4
M. Ratnik
D
6
J. Bijol
D
↓ 64'
21
V. Drkusic
D
↓ 89'
13
E. Janza
D
11
T. Begic
M
↓ 64'
22
A. Gnezda Cerin
M
8
S. Lovric
M
15
D. Sturm
M
18
Z. Vipotnik
F
↓ 64'
Substitutes
12
M. Vidovsek
G
16
Z. Leban
G
9
A. Sporar
F
⚽ 83'
↑ 64'
14
T. Svetlin
M
23
D. Brekalo
D
↑ 64'
25
E. Sokler
F
3
J. Urbancic
D
10
S. Seslar
M
5
S. Kuzmic
D
↑ 16'
24
T. N. Koren
7
B. Verbic
M
19
A. Matko
F
↑ 64'
17
D. Zec
D
↑ 89'
26
A. Zeljkovic
M
Last matches: Croatia
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
12.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
2
1
W
Last matches: Slovenia
04.06.26
Fri
Slovenia
Cyprus
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Slovenia
Montenegro
3
2
W
28.03.26
Fri
Slovenia
Hungary
0
1
L
18.11.25
Wor
Slovenia
Sweden
1
1
D
15.11.25
Wor
Slovenia
Kosovo
0
2
L
13.10.25
Wor
Slovenia
Switzerland
0
0
D
10.10.25
Wor
Slovenia
Kosovo
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Slovenia
Switzerland
0
3
L
05.09.25
Wor
Slovenia
Sweden
2
2
D
23.03.25
UEF
Slovenia
Slovakia
1
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Slovenia
Slovakia
0
0
D
17.11.24
UEF
Slovenia
Austria
1
1
D
14.11.24
UEF
Slovenia
Norway
1
4
L
13.10.24
UEF
Slovenia
Kazakhstan
1
0
W
10.10.24
UEF
Slovenia
Norway
0
3
L
09.09.24
UEF
Slovenia
Kazakhstan
3
0
W
06.09.24
UEF
Slovenia
Austria
1
1
D
H2H: Croatia vs Slovenia
07.06.26
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
26.03.22
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
1
1
D
07.09.21
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
3
0
W
24.03.21
H2H
Slovenia
Croatia
1
0
L
Last matches: Croatia
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
12.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
2
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
1
0
W
H2H at home: Croatia
07.06.26
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
26.03.22
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
1
1
D
07.09.21
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
3
0
W
Last matches: Slovenia
31.03.26
Fri
Slovenia
Montenegro
3
2
W
28.03.26
Fri
Slovenia
Hungary
0
1
L
18.11.25
Wor
Slovenia
Sweden
1
1
D
10.10.25
Wor
Slovenia
Kosovo
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Slovenia
Switzerland
0
3
L
20.03.25
UEF
Slovenia
Slovakia
0
0
D
17.11.24
UEF
Slovenia
Austria
1
1
D
13.10.24
UEF
Slovenia
Kazakhstan
1
0
W
10.10.24
UEF
Slovenia
Norway
0
3
L
H2H away: Slovenia
07.06.26
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
L
26.03.22
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
1
1
D
07.09.21
H2H
Croatia
Slovenia
3
0
L