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BRAZIL › SERIE B
12.10.2026 22:30

Criciuma vs America Mineiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 51.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
51.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Criciuma Win 87.5%
Draw 6.3%
America Mineiro Win 6.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Criciuma1.31
America Mineiro0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Criciuma Criciuma
WWDLW
33 GF / 27 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
21 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
11
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
16
3.77
Shots on Goal
4.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Criciuma Criciuma 31 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 31 matches
Criciuma Statistic America Mineiro
15 Wins 4
8 Draws 5
8 Losses 22
33 Goals For 21
27 Goals Against 52
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
11 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 16
3 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 14
3.77 Shots On Goal 4.55
13.84 Total Shots 13.55
6.65 Corners 5.45
53.2% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America Mineiro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-3 and America Mineiro in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Criciuma arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 53 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma sit 4 with 53 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats with a 33:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Willean Lepo (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (4 assists), Romarinho (3 assists), Willean Lepo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro sit 19 with 17 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 22 defeats with a 21:52 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Willian (3 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Willian (2 assists), Paulo Victor (2 assists), M. Segovia (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 2 times, America Mineiro won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:20 from Criciuma's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Criciuma 3-4-3 / America Mineiro 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Criciuma wins 2, draws 6, America Mineiro wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 17 6 8 44:31 13 57
W W W D W
2 31 16 8 7 35:19 16 56
W W L L W
3 31 15 9 7 52:27 25 54
W D L D W
4 31 15 8 8 33:27 6 53
W W L L L
5 31 14 11 6 36:27 9 53
D D W D W
6 31 14 10 7 39:27 12 52
W W L W W
7 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
8 31 14 6 11 46:44 2 48
L W L W L
9 31 13 9 9 43:41 2 48
L D W D W
10 31 11 13 7 32:25 7 46
W L W D W
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 31 11 9 11 39:38 1 42
D W L D L
14 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
15 31 10 9 12 34:39 -5 39
W D W D L
16 31 9 8 14 34:37 -3 35
L W D L L
17 31 8 6 17 30:42 -12 30
L L L D L
18 31 7 7 17 39:45 -6 28
L L L W W
19 31 4 5 22 21:52 -31 17
L L L L W
20 31 3 4 24 17:66 -49 13
L L W L L
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