ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

22.08.2026 14:00

Crewe

1 - 0

Northampton

Alexandra Stadium

Referee: L. Sandoe

Crewe

Match Timeline

Northampton

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Crewe vs Northampton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 70.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	67.1%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.3%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.7%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Crewe Win 32.9%

Draw 25.7%

Northampton Win 41.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Crewe1.3

Northampton1.03

Recent Form (Last 5)

Crewe

WWDLW

9 GF / 5 GA

Northampton

WLDWL

7 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

1.5

Average Goals Scored

1.17

0.83

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crewe 6 matches

Northampton 6 matches

Crewe	Statistic	Northampton
3	Wins	2
2	Draws	3
1	Losses	1
9	Goals For	7
5	Goals Against	6
1.5	Avg Goals Scored	1.17
0.83	Avg Goals Conceded	1
3	BTTS Yes	2
4	Over 1.5	3
3	Over 2.5	3
1	Over 3.5	2
3	Clean Sheets	3
1	Failed To Score	4
4	Shots On Goal	3
18	Total Shots	11
11	Corners	10
52%	Ball Possession	51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Crewe won 3 times, Northampton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Crewe's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (74.3%)

Predicted formations: Crewe 4-2-3-1 / Northampton 4-4-2

H2H summary: Crewe wins 3, draws 3, Northampton wins 4

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Salford City	9	5	1	3	13:10	3	16	W W W D W
2	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17:10	7	15	W W D D D
3	Crewe Home	9	3	6	0	11:7	4	15	W D D D D
4	Cheltenham	9	4	3	2	16:14	2	15	L W D W D
5	Bristol Rovers	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15	L W L L W
6	York	8	4	2	2	16:10	6	14	W L W D L
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14	D W D D D
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14	W L W W D
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13	L L W W D
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	11:9	2	13	D L W W W
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	10:11	-1	13	W W W D L
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	12:12	0	11	L D D L W
13	Swindon Town	9	3	2	4	9:13	-4	11	L D L L W
14	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11	W D D W L
15	Newport County	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10	D W D D L
16	Accrington ST	9	2	4	3	13:14	-1	10	W D D L W
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10	L D W D L
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10	L L L D W
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	10:12	-2	10	D D D L L
20	Exeter City	9	2	3	4	5:6	-1	9	W L D L D
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	9:13	-4	7	L L L L D
22	Northampton Away	7	1	3	3	3:6	-3	6	L L W D D
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3:9	-6	5	L W L L D
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4	L L L D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League