Crawley Town vs Chesterfield Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
85.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crawley Town
10 matches
Chesterfield
12 matches
| Crawley Town | Statistic | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 8 | Goals For | 18 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.29 | Shots On Goal | 6.56 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 18.44 |
| 4.43 | Corners | 5.78 |
| 58% | Ball Possession | 58.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Chesterfield's more proactive style and Crawley Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crawley Town expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Chesterfield in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chesterfield having the stronger overall control. Crawley Town have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chesterfield. Chesterfield carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 11 points while Crawley Town sit 24 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 24, Crawley Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Aderoju (2 goals), D. Orsi (1 goals), L. Watson (1 goals), with creative support from D. Orsi (1 assists), K. Gordon (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Chesterfield have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Bonis (3 goals), L. Marsh (3 goals), D. Markanday (2 goals), with creative support from L. Bonis (1 assists), G. McEachran (1 assists), J. Koroma (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Crawley Town won 1 times, Chesterfield won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Crawley Town's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Chesterfield
Away
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 |
Crawley Town
Home
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|