Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
48.7%
|
2.43 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.20 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.3%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.50 |
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
26 matches
Atletico Paranaense
28 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 34 | Goals For | 39 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.42 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 11.04 | Total Shots | 12.27 |
| 3.54 | Corners | 4.73 |
| 39.8% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Atletico Paranaense's more proactive style and Coritiba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coritiba expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Paranaense. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 25 matches, Coritiba have collected 37 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 33:33 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Breno Lopes (8 goals), Pedro Rocha (5 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), with creative support from Josué (8 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico Paranaense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 45 points after 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 37:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kevin Viveros (17 goals), Steven Mendoza (4 goals), Leozinho (4 goals), with creative support from Gastón Benavídez (5 assists), João Cruz (4 assists), Lucas Esquivel (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 4 times, Atletico Paranaense won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from Coritiba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Coritiba
Home
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|