BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Neo Quimica Arena
Referee: D. Lacerda
Corinthians
Match Timeline
Vasco DA Gama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Gustavo Henrique
Corinthians
🟨
31'
Tchê Tchê
Vasco DA Gama
🟨
31'
Thiago Mendes
Vasco DA Gama
38'
Matheus Bidu · Assist: R. Garro
Corinthians
🟨
41'
Cauan Barros
Vasco DA Gama
🟥
45'
André Luiz
Corinthians
🔄
46'
Cuiabano ↔ Lucas Piton
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
46'
Thiago Mendes ↔ J. Rojas
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
63'
Vitinho ↔ J. Lingard
Corinthians
🔄
63'
Tche Tche ↔ Adson
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
68'
David ↔ C. Spinelli
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
77'
R. Garro ↔ A. Carrillo
Corinthians
🔄
78'
Paulo Henrique ↔ N. Moreira
Vasco DA Gama
🟨
82'
Johan Rojas
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
89'
Matheus Bidu ↔ F. Angileri
Corinthians
🔄
89'
Breno Bidon ↔ M. Pereira
Corinthians
🟨
90+7'
Kauê
Corinthians

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Corinthians Win 44.8%
Draw 21.7%
Vasco DA Gama Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Corinthians1.12
Vasco DA Gama1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Corinthians Corinthians
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
WLDWL
18 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
11
2
Over 2.5
8
3.21
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Corinthians Corinthians 14 matches
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 12 matches
Corinthians Statistic Vasco DA Gama
4 Wins 4
6 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
12 Goals For 18
11 Goals Against 18
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 11
2 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 1
3.21 Shots On Goal 5.25
10 Total Shots 17.42
4.57 Corners 5.5
53.9% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Corinthians appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Vasco DA Gama. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vasco DA Gama. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Corinthians Analysis

Corinthians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 12 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Andre (1 goals), Breno Bidon (1 goals), Gabriel Paulista (1 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (3 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), Kaio César (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Depay, Gui Negao, Joao Pedro unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Vasco DA Gama Analysis

Vasco DA Gama are currently 10 in the standings with 16 points from 12 matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cauan Barros (3 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Andres Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from Cuiabano (4 assists), J. Rodriguez (3 assists), Paulo Henrique (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Jair, Mateus Carvalho unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 11 times, Vasco DA Gama won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:12 from Corinthians's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
Predicted formations: Corinthians 4-2-3-1 / Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Corinthians 7, Vasco DA Gama 2
H2H summary: Corinthians wins 11, draws 3, Vasco DA Gama wins 1
Stats
Corinthians Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 7
12 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 0
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 12
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 15
7 Goalkeeper Saves 4
323 Total passes 476
250 Passes accurate 410
0.55 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Corinthians
Formation
Vasco DA Gama
Kaue
Kaue
Raniele
Raniele
Gabriel Paulista
Gabriel Paulista
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Matheus Bidu
Matheus Bidu
Andre
Andre
Allan
Allan
Breno Bidon
Breno Bidon
R. Garro
🎯
R. Garro
Vitinho
Vitinho
Yuri Alberto
Yuri Alberto
Leo Jardim
Leo Jardim
Paulo Henrique
Paulo Henrique
A. Saldivia
A. Saldivia
Robert Renan
Robert Renan
Cuiabano
Cuiabano
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros
Brenner
Brenner
Tche Tche
Tche Tche
Thiago Mendes
Thiago Mendes
Andres Gomez
Andres Gomez
David
David
Corinthians 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
51
Kaue
🟨 90+7'
G
14
Raniele
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
🟨 29'
D
21
Matheus Bidu
⚽ 38' ↓ 89'
D
49
Andre
🟥 45'
M
29
Allan
M
7
Breno Bidon
↓ 89'
M
8
R. Garro
🎯 38' ↓ 77'
M
11
Vitinho
↓ 63'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
F
Substitutes
40
Felipe Longo
G
52
Z. Labyad
F
5
Andre Ramalho
D
26
F. Angileri
↑ 89'
D
77
J. Lingard
↑ 63'
M
23
M. Pereira
↑ 89'
M
20
P. Milans
D
37
Kaio Cesar
F
19
A. Carrillo
↑ 77'
M
80
Alex Santana
M
18
Pedro Raul
F
61
Dieguinho
M
Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Leo Jardim
G
96
Paulo Henrique
↓ 78'
D
4
A. Saldivia
D
30
Robert Renan
D
66
Cuiabano
↓ 46'
D
88
Cauan Barros
🟨 41'
M
20
Brenner
M
3
Tche Tche
↓ 63' 🟨 31'
M
23
Thiago Mendes
↓ 46' 🟨 31'
M
11
Andres Gomez
M
7
David
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
2
J. Rodriguez
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
25
Hugo Moura
M
6
Lucas Piton
↑ 46'
D
28
Adson
↑ 63'
F
10
J. Rojas
↑ 46' 🟨 82'
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
17
N. Moreira
↑ 78'
M
77
C. Spinelli
↑ 68'
F
18
M. Hinestroza
F
98
JP
M
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
31.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H: Corinthians vs Vasco DA Gama
26.04.26
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
21.12.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
1
2
W
18.12.25
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
24.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
2
3
W
05.04.25
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
W
10.07.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
2
0
L
29.11.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
2
4
W
29.07.23
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
W
21.02.21
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
22.10.20
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
1
2
W
29.09.19
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
04.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
1
1
D
17.11.18
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
29.07.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
1
4
W
Last matches: Corinthians
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Corinthians
Bahia
1
2
L
H2H at home: Corinthians
26.04.26
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.12.25
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
W
29.07.23
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
W
21.02.21
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
29.09.19
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
17.11.18
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
H2H away: Vasco DA Gama
26.04.26
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
L
18.12.25
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
L
29.07.23
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
3
1
L
21.02.21
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
29.09.19
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
L
17.11.18
H2H
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Corinthians 7 missing
-
M. Depay
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Gui Negao
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Joao Pedro
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Charles Rigon
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Matheuzinho
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
Hugo Souza
Missing Fixture Suspended
OUT
-
Kayke
Questionable Injury
OUT
Vasco DA Gama 2 missing
-
Jair
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Mateus Carvalho
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT