Corinthians vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
78.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
61.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2%
|
- |
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
14 matches
Vasco DA Gama
12 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 12 | Goals For | 18 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.21 | Shots On Goal | 5.25 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 17.42 |
| 4.57 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 53.9% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Corinthians appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Vasco DA Gama. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vasco DA Gama. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Corinthians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 12 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Andre (1 goals), Breno Bidon (1 goals), Gabriel Paulista (1 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (3 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), Kaio César (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Depay, Gui Negao, Joao Pedro unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Vasco DA Gama are currently 10 in the standings with 16 points from 12 matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cauan Barros (3 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Andres Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from Cuiabano (4 assists), J. Rodriguez (3 assists), Paulo Henrique (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Jair, Mateus Carvalho unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 11 times, Vasco DA Gama won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:12 from Corinthians's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 64 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 63 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:37 | 11 | 51 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 47 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:45 | 1 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 36 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 35 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 33 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 16 |
Corinthians
Home
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 31 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 30:61 | -31 | 18 |
L
L
D
L
W
|