Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
27 matches
Atletico Paranaense
22 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 31 | Goals For | 29 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.7 |
| 12.04 | Total Shots | 12.25 |
| 4.65 | Corners | 4.95 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 47.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Atletico Paranaense's more proactive style and Corinthians's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Paranaense. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Corinthians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control.
From their first 18 matches, Corinthians have collected 24 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 18:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by André Luiz (3 goals), Rodrigo Garro (2 goals), Matheus Bidu (2 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 30 points from 18 outings, Atletico Paranaense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 24:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kevin Viveros (11 goals), Steven Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from Gastón Benavídez (5 assists), Lucas Esquivel (3 assists), João Cruz (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 9 times, Atletico Paranaense won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:11 from Corinthians's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 32 | 61 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 27 | 60 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 46 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | -10 | 38 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 1 | 37 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 36 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Corinthians
Home
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 24 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | -28 | 18 |
L
D
L
W
L
|