05.10.2026 18:30
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Referee: Ojaos Valera, Alejandro
Cordoba
Match Timeline
Tenerife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
Eder Garcia · Assist: Cristian Carracedo
Cordoba
VAR
4'
Eder Garcia
Cordoba
🟨
15'
Gerard Valentín
Tenerife
⚽
17'
Christian Pierre Louis Gomis · Assist: Ivan Chapela
Tenerife
⚽
23'
Diego Percan · Assist: Diego Bri
Cordoba
🟨
27'
Rubén González Alves
Cordoba
🟨
28'
Cristian Carracedo
Cordoba
🟨
28'
Enric Gallego
Tenerife
VAR
29'
Rubén González Alves
Cordoba
🟨
36'
Juanjo Sánchez
Tenerife
🟨
37'
Nacho Gil
Tenerife
🟨
45+3'
Anthony Landazuri
Tenerife
🔄
45'
Enric Gallego ↔ Nacho Gil
Tenerife
🔄
45'
Gerard Valentín ↔ Dani Fernández
Tenerife
🔄
57'
Ivan Chapela ↔ Grant Leon Ranos
Tenerife
🔄
67'
Diego Bri ↔ Kevin Villodres Medina
Cordoba
🔄
67'
Eder Garcia ↔ Damián Cáceres Rodríguez
Cordoba
🔄
67'
César Álvarez Abrante ↔ Roko Jureskin
Tenerife
⚽
68'
Grant Leon Ranos · Assist: Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa
Tenerife
🟨
73'
Daniel Budesca
Cordoba
🔄
76'
Diego Percan ↔ Enol Rodríguez Heres
Cordoba
🔄
76'
David Rodríguez Ramos ↔ Jorge Moreno San Vidal
Tenerife
⚽
77'
Ismael Ruiz Sánchez
Cordoba
🔄
84'
Cristian Carracedo ↔ Egoitz Muñoz
Cordoba
🔄
84'
Adnane Ghailan Benktib ↔ Théo Zidane
Cordoba
🟨
86'
Daniel Esmoris Tasende
Cordoba
🟥
87'
Juanjo Sánchez
Tenerife
🟨
87'
Dani Martín
Tenerife

Cordoba vs Tenerife Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73%
Odds 4.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73%
4.19 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.95 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.1%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cordoba Win 21.1%
Draw 5.9%
Tenerife Win 73%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cordoba1.2
Tenerife1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cordoba Cordoba
WWDLW
16 GF / 24 GA
Tenerife Tenerife
WLDWL
23 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
9
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
7
4.43
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cordoba Cordoba 13 matches
Tenerife Tenerife 13 matches
Cordoba Statistic Tenerife
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
16 Goals For 23
24 Goals Against 15
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
9 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
4.43 Shots On Goal 3.14
15.43 Total Shots 10.14
5.14 Corners 3.43
57.3% Ball Possession 41.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cordoba expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Tenerife in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tenerife having the stronger overall control. Tenerife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 11 points while Cordoba sit 18 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Cordoba have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tenerife.

Cordoba Analysis

Cordoba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 6 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 10:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Percan (2 goals), Cristian Carracedo (1 goals), Diego Bri (1 goals), with creative support from Percan (1 assists), Cristian Carracedo (1 assists), Diego Bri (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tenerife Analysis

Tenerife sit 10 with 11 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 8:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Enric Gallego (4 goals), Iván Chapela (1 goals), Fabricio (1 goals), with creative support from Nacho Gil (1 assists), Gerard Valentín (1 assists), A. Krdžalić (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cordoba won 5 times, Tenerife won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:10 from Cordoba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Cordoba 4-3-3 / Tenerife 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cordoba wins 5, draws 1, Tenerife wins 2

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
5 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
7 8 3 4 1 8:6 2 13
D D W L W
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
12 7 3 2 2 8:9 -1 11
D L W D L
13 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
15 8 2 2 4 11:13 -2 8
L L L W D
16 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
17 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L D L L W
18 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
19 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
20 7 2 0 5 10:16 -6 6
L W L L L
21 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
D W D L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation