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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
03.10.2026 18:45
Stade Guy Piriou
Concarneau
Match Timeline
Gobelins
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
J. Halby
Concarneau
🟨
41'
D. Seba
Concarneau
🟨
42'
N. Donat
Gobelins
🟨
45+1'
T. Sinquin
Concarneau
🔄
60'
M. Guendez ↔ E. Michut
Gobelins
⚽
65'
E. Dode
Gobelins
🔄
68'
F. Da Silva ↔ J. Varvat
Concarneau
🔄
68'
L. Goujon ↔ A. Sidibe
Concarneau
🔄
73'
T. Sinquin ↔ G. Gbelle
Concarneau
🟨
74'
S. Janno
Concarneau
🟨
77'
E. Dode
Gobelins
⚽
78'
A. Sidibe
Concarneau
🔄
86'
A. Sidibe ↔ I. Kone
Gobelins
🟨
89'
B. Macon
Concarneau
⚽
90+1'
B. Macon
Concarneau

Concarneau vs Gobelins Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.2%
Odds 2.04
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.2%
2.04 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.39 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.39 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Concarneau Win 81.2%
Draw 5.8%
Gobelins Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Concarneau1.47
Gobelins1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Concarneau Concarneau
WWDLW
21 GF / 13 GA
Gobelins Gobelins
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
8
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Concarneau Concarneau 13 matches
Gobelins Gobelins 12 matches
Concarneau Statistic Gobelins
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 3
21 Goals For 16
13 Goals Against 15
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Concarneau's more proactive style and Gobelins's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gobelins. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gobelins having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Concarneau Analysis

Concarneau come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 12 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 9:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Gobelins Analysis

Gobelins are currently 11 in the standings with 9 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Concarneau won 2 times, Gobelins won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Concarneau's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
H2H summary: Concarneau wins 2, draws 3, Gobelins wins 1

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7 9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation