PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Referee: W. Guadalupe
Comerciantes Unidos
Match Timeline
FBC Melgar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
J. Salas · Assist: N. Quagliata
FBC Melgar
🔄
56'
A. Rodriguez ↔ M. Sen
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
56'
F. Alcedo ↔ T. Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
61'
Juan Rodríguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
64'
Alec Deneumostier
FBC Melgar
🔄
72'
M. Zegarra ↔ G. Bernaola
FBC Melgar
🔄
73'
J. Herrera ↔ M. Carranza
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
73'
R. Vilca ↔ C. Saavedra
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
81'
J. Vidales ↔ B. Cuesta
FBC Melgar
🔄
81'
N. Cabanillas ↔ A. Ramos
FBC Melgar
🟨
82'
Alejandro Ramos
FBC Melgar
🔄
90'
F. Rojas ↔ J. Olivares
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
90'
J. Caceres ↔ J. D'Arrigo
FBC Melgar
90'
P. Guzman
Comerciantes Unidos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Comerciantes Unidos Win 59.5%
Draw 12.6%
FBC Melgar Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Comerciantes Unidos1.22
FBC Melgar1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WWDLW
18 GF / 18 GA
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
WLDWL
26 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
9
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
10
3.46
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 15 matches
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 16 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Statistic FBC Melgar
5 Wins 8
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
18 Goals For 26
18 Goals Against 20
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
9 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
3.46 Shots On Goal 3.92
10.92 Total Shots 12.92
3.31 Corners 5.08
41.4% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FBC Melgar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FBC Melgar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FBC Melgar having the stronger overall control.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos are currently 7 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 17:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FBC Melgar Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 20 points from 13 games, FBC Melgar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 20:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Vidales (5 goals), B. Cuesta (4 goals), M. Zegarra (3 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (4 assists), M. Zegarra (3 assists), B. Cuesta (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 times, FBC Melgar won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
Predicted formations: Comerciantes Unidos 3-4-2-1 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Comerciantes Unidos wins 1, draws 7, FBC Melgar wins 3
Stats
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 4
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 8
8 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
325 Total passes 360
227 Passes accurate 276
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Comerciantes Unidos
Formation
FBC Melgar
M. Cordova
M. Cordova
F. Alcedo
F. Alcedo
P. Guzman
P. Guzman
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
F. Rojas
F. Rojas
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
A. Arias
A. Arias
A. Cossio
A. Cossio
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
E. M. Perez Azambuya
E. M. Perez Azambuya
R. Vilca
R. Vilca
J. Cabezudo
J. Cabezudo
M. Lazo
M. Lazo
J. Escobar
J. Escobar
A. Deneumostier
A. Deneumostier
N. Cabanillas
N. Cabanillas
W. Tandazo
W. Tandazo
J. Salas
J. Salas
J. Caceres
J. Caceres
N. Quagliata
🎯
N. Quagliata
M. Zegarra
M. Zegarra
J. Vidales
J. Vidales
Comerciantes Unidos 3-4-3
Starting XI
17
M. Cordova
G
40
F. Alcedo
↓ 56'
D
30
P. Guzman
⚽ 90'
D
6
J. Rodriguez
🟨 61'
D
16
F. Rojas
↓ 90'
M
18
A. Rodriguez
↓ 56'
M
4
A. Arias
M
15
A. Cossio
M
11
J. Herrera
↓ 73'
13
E. M. Perez Azambuya
F
25
R. Vilca
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
99
J. Charun
7
M. Carranza
↑ 73'
M
29
C. Saavedra
↑ 73'
M
50
J. Olivares
↑ 90'
9
M. Sen
↑ 56'
F
5
C. A. Correa Flores
M
20
J. Parodi
M
19
D. Lino
D
14
T. Salinas
↑ 56'
M
FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
21
J. Cabezudo
G
33
M. Lazo
D
23
J. Escobar
D
5
A. Deneumostier
🟨 64'
D
27
N. Cabanillas
↓ 81'
D
24
W. Tandazo
M
6
J. Salas
⚽ 44'
M
16
J. Caceres
↓ 90'
M
10
N. Quagliata
🎯 44'
M
45
M. Zegarra
↓ 72'
M
11
J. Vidales
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
12
C. Caceda
G
9
B. Cuesta
↑ 81'
F
4
A. Ramos
↑ 81' 🟨 82'
D
80
J. D'Arrigo
↑ 90'
M
22
P. Erustes
F
8
L. Guzman
F
14
Y. Gamero
M
20
G. Bernaola
↑ 72'
36
P. Nunez
M
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
25.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
Last matches: FBC Melgar
18.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
3
1
W
22.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
1
W
15.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Cusco
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
ADT
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
4
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
Macara
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
3
L
H2H: Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar
10.05.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
27.09.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.05.25
H2H
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
07.09.24
H2H
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
3
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
02.11.18
H2H
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
L
05.08.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
2
2
D
20.11.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.07.17
H2H
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
20.07.16
H2H
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
3
2
L
01.04.16
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
2
0
W
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
25.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
H2H at home: Comerciantes Unidos
10.05.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
27.09.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.03.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
05.08.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
2
2
D
20.11.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
01.04.16
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
2
0
W
Last matches: FBC Melgar
18.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
3
1
W
20.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
ADT
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
3
L
H2H away: FBC Melgar
10.05.26
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
27.09.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.03.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
05.08.18
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
2
2
D
20.11.17
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
01.04.16
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
2
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)