Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Comerciantes Unidos
15 matches
FBC Melgar
16 matches
| Comerciantes Unidos | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 18 | Goals For | 26 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.46 | Shots On Goal | 3.92 |
| 10.92 | Total Shots | 12.92 |
| 3.31 | Corners | 5.08 |
| 41.4% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FBC Melgar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FBC Melgar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FBC Melgar having the stronger overall control.
Comerciantes Unidos are currently 7 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 17:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 5 place with 20 points from 13 games, FBC Melgar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 20:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Vidales (5 goals), B. Cuesta (4 goals), M. Zegarra (3 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (4 assists), M. Zegarra (3 assists), B. Cuesta (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 times, FBC Melgar won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.
Comerciantes Unidos
6
3
9
6
2
3
Lineups
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Macara
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Home
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|