🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Referee: S. Boiko
Columbus Crew
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Maximilian Arfsten
Columbus Crew
🟨
24'
Kyle Duncan
Minnesota United FC
31'
T. Habroune · Assist: M. Arfsten
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
M. Amundsen ↔ Y. Cheberko
Columbus Crew
56'
H. Picard
Columbus Crew
59'
K. Yeboah · Assist: A. Markanich
Minnesota United FC
🔄
63'
D. Gazdag ↔ S. Bangoura
Columbus Crew
66'
K. Yeboah · Assist: J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
🟨
72'
Rudy Camacho
Columbus Crew
74'
A. Markanich · Assist: N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🔄
75'
N. Romero ↔ M. Boxall
Minnesota United FC
🔄
75'
N. Triantis ↔ W. Trapp
Minnesota United FC
🔄
81'
H. Picard ↔ N. Akhundzade
Columbus Crew
🟨
84'
Jefferson Díaz
Minnesota United FC
🔄
89'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Dieng
Minnesota United FC
🔄
90+2'
T. Habroune ↔ C. Adams
Columbus Crew
🔄
90+2'
D. Chambost ↔ M. Farsi
Columbus Crew

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 39.4%
Draw 16.4%
Minnesota United FC Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.39
Minnesota United FC1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
18 GF / 15 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
7
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 12 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic Minnesota United FC
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 4
18 Goals For 15
15 Goals Against 16
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
8 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.4
12.2 Total Shots 13.4
6.1 Corners 4.8
54.7% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Columbus Crew's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Minnesota United FC. Minnesota United FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Columbus Crew Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Columbus Crew have collected 12 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 14:13 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Abou Ali (5 goals), D. Rossi (4 goals), M. Arfsten (4 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (3 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), W. Abou Ali (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 17 points from 10 games, Minnesota United FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 11:14 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on K. Yeboah (5 goals), Anthony Markanich (2 goals), Kyle Duncan (1 goals), with creative support from T. Chancalay (3 assists), J. Pereyra (3 assists), D. Padelford (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 3 times, Minnesota United FC won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 4-4-2 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Columbus Crew 2, Minnesota United FC 4
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 3, draws 3, Minnesota United FC wins 2
Stats
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
620 Total passes 311
535 Passes accurate 239
1.02 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Columbus Crew
Formation
Minnesota United FC
P. Schulte
P. Schulte
S. Moreira
S. Moreira
R. Camacho
R. Camacho
S. Zawadzki
S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen
M. Amundsen
M. Arfsten
🎯
M. Arfsten
T. Habroune
T. Habroune
D. Chambost
D. Chambost
H. Picard
H. Picard
D. Rossi
D. Rossi
D. Gazdag
D. Gazdag
D. Callender
D. Callender
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
M. Duggan
M. Duggan
N. Romero
N. Romero
K. Duncan
K. Duncan
N. Triantis
🎯
N. Triantis
O. Gene
O. Gene
A. Markanich
🎯
A. Markanich
J. Pereyra
🎯
J. Pereyra
T. Chancalay
T. Chancalay
K. Yeboah
⚽ 2
K. Yeboah
Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Starting XI
28
P. Schulte
G
31
S. Moreira
D
4
R. Camacho
🟨 72'
D
25
S. Zawadzki
D
18
M. Amundsen
↓ 46'
D
27
M. Arfsten
🎯 31' 🟨 12'
M
16
T. Habroune
⚽ 31' ↓ 90+2'
M
7
D. Chambost
↓ 90+2'
M
30
H. Picard
⚽ 56' ↓ 81'
M
10
D. Rossi
F
8
D. Gazdag
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Hagen
G
2
A. Herrera
D
90
N. Akhundzade
↑ 81'
F
46
C. Adams
↑ 90+2'
21
Y. Cheberko
↑ 46'
D
14
A. Sejdic
M
17
S. Bangoura
↑ 63'
M
23
M. Farsi
↑ 90+2'
D
12
C. Ruvalcaba
D
Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
D. Callender
G
28
J. Diaz
🟨 84'
D
23
M. Duggan
D
5
N. Romero
↓ 75'
D
3
K. Duncan
🟨 24'
M
25
N. Triantis
🎯 74' ↓ 75'
M
30
O. Gene
M
13
A. Markanich
⚽ 74' 🎯 59'
M
26
J. Pereyra
🎯 66'
F
8
T. Chancalay
F
9
K. Yeboah
⚽ 59' ⚽ 66' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Smir
G
15
M. Boxall
↑ 75'
D
20
W. Trapp
↑ 75'
M
7
D. Fitz
M
2
D. Padelford
D
33
K. Chandler
D
27
D. Taylor
D
18
M. Gonzalez
F
29
M. Dieng
↑ 89'
F
Last matches: Columbus Crew
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids
4
1
W
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
23.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
10.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Seattle Sounders
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
H2H: Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC
02.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.08.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
3
3
D
23.09.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
29.07.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
05.07.20
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
19.05.19
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
1
0
L
28.10.18
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
3
2
W
04.07.17
H2H
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
0
1
W
Last matches: Columbus Crew
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
H2H at home: Columbus Crew
02.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
05.08.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
3
3
D
23.09.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
29.07.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
28.10.18
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Minnesota United FC
16.05.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
6
L
08.03.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
1
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Minnesota United FC
Austin
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Charlotte
1
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
DC United
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Minnesota United FC
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
H2H away: Minnesota United FC
02.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
W
05.08.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
3
3
D
23.09.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
1
L
29.07.20
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
28.10.18
H2H
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
3
2
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Columbus Crew 2 missing
-
A. Gomes
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
W. Abou Ali
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Minnesota United FC 4 missing
-
M. Boxall
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
P. Stroud
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Gressel
Missing Fixture Toe Injury
OUT
-
C. Harvey
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT