🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Referee: C. Penso
Columbus Crew
Match Timeline
Atlanta United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Sean Zawadzki
Columbus Crew
24'
S. Bangoura · Assist: M. Farsi
Columbus Crew
45'
D. Rossi · Assist: M. Farsi
Columbus Crew
🟨
50'
Elías Báez
Atlanta United FC
🔄
60'
L. Brennan ↔ M. Almiron
Atlanta United FC
🟨
64'
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
Columbus Crew
🔄
69'
S. Moreira ↔ Y. Cheberko
Columbus Crew
🔄
69'
T. Habroune ↔ D. Chambost
Columbus Crew
🔄
69'
M. Arfsten ↔ H. Picard
Columbus Crew
🔄
69'
S. Lobjanidze ↔ Sergio Santos
Atlanta United FC
🔄
78'
M. Farsi ↔ A. Herrera
Columbus Crew
🔄
82'
S. Bangoura ↔ A. Sejdic
Columbus Crew
🟨
90+3'
Rudy Camacho
Columbus Crew
🟨
90+4'
Tristan Muyumba
Atlanta United FC
🟨
90+3'
Tomás Jacob
Atlanta United FC
🟨
90+3'
Enea Mihaj
Atlanta United FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 63.7%
Draw 10.3%
Atlanta United FC Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.43
Atlanta United FC1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
11
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
9
4.07
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 16 matches
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 17 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic Atlanta United FC
4 Wins 5
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
23 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 24
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
11 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
4.07 Shots On Goal 4.23
11.64 Total Shots 13.08
5.64 Corners 5.38
57.3% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlanta United FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atlanta United FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlanta United FC having the stronger overall control.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 13 points from 14 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 19:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Rossi (5 goals), W. Abou Ali (5 goals), M. Arfsten (4 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), H. Picard (2 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlanta United FC Analysis

Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 14:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Miranchuk (5 goals), A. Fortune (2 goals), Emmanuel Latte Lath (2 goals), with creative support from M. Almiron (3 assists), A. Miranchuk (2 assists), E. Baez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 10 times, Atlanta United FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:22 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 4-4-2 / Atlanta United FC 4-3-3
Missing players: Columbus Crew 3, Atlanta United FC 6
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 10, draws 2, Atlanta United FC wins 3
Stats
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
9
2 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 9
9 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
639 Total passes 454
586 Passes accurate 397
1.69 expected_goals 1.46
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Columbus Crew
Formation
Atlanta United FC
P. Schulte
P. Schulte
M. Farsi
🎯
M. Farsi
S. Moreira
S. Moreira
R. Camacho
R. Camacho
S. Zawadzki
S. Zawadzki
T. Habroune
T. Habroune
A. Gomes
A. Gomes
S. Bangoura
S. Bangoura
M. Arfsten
M. Arfsten
D. Gazdag
D. Gazdag
D. Rossi
D. Rossi
L. Hoyos
L. Hoyos
T. Jacob
T. Jacob
E. Mihaj
E. Mihaj
J. Berrocal
J. Berrocal
E. Baez
E. Baez
T. Muyumba
T. Muyumba
S. Lobjanidze
S. Lobjanidze
C. Sanchez
C. Sanchez
L. Brennan
L. Brennan
A. Fortune
A. Fortune
A. Miranchuk
A. Miranchuk
Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Starting XI
28
P. Schulte
G
23
M. Farsi
🎯 24' 🎯 45' ↓ 78'
D
31
S. Moreira
↓ 69'
D
4
R. Camacho
🟨 90+3'
D
25
S. Zawadzki
🟨 23'
D
16
T. Habroune
↓ 69'
M
20
A. Gomes
M
17
S. Bangoura
⚽ 24' ↓ 82' 🟨 64'
M
27
M. Arfsten
↓ 69'
M
8
D. Gazdag
F
10
D. Rossi
⚽ 45'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Hagen
G
2
A. Herrera
↑ 78'
D
90
N. Akhundzade
F
45
O. Presthus
D
21
Y. Cheberko
↑ 69'
D
7
D. Chambost
↑ 69'
M
14
A. Sejdic
↑ 82'
M
30
H. Picard
↑ 69'
M
12
C. Ruvalcaba
D
Atlanta United FC 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hoyos
G
55
T. Jacob
🟨 90+3'
D
4
E. Mihaj
🟨 90+3'
D
6
J. Berrocal
D
3
E. Baez
🟨 50'
D
8
T. Muyumba
🟨 90+4'
M
11
S. Lobjanidze
↓ 69'
M
48
C. Sanchez
M
20
L. Brennan
↓ 60'
M
35
A. Fortune
M
59
A. Miranchuk
F
Substitutes
42
J. Hibbert
G
5
S. Gregersen
D
30
C. Togashi
F
19
Sergio Santos
↑ 69'
F
28
W. Reilly
M
47
M. Edwards
D
10
M. Almiron
↑ 60'
F
2
R. Hernandez
D
18
P. Amador
D
Last matches: Columbus Crew
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
22.02.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids
4
1
W
Last matches: Atlanta United FC
16.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
09.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
CF Montreal
3
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2
1
W
22.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
0
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
04.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
1
3
L
21.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
DC United
0
0
D
14.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
FC Dallas
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Lexington
4
0
W
H2H: Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC
24.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
1
3
W
13.09.25
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
4
5
W
25.06.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
20.07.24
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
13.11.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
4
2
W
08.11.23
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
4
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
25.03.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
6
1
W
22.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
28.05.22
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
1
2
W
07.08.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
24.07.21
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
0
1
W
Last matches: Columbus Crew
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
H2H at home: Columbus Crew
24.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
25.06.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
24.02.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
13.11.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
4
2
W
01.11.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
25.03.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
6
1
W
22.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
07.08.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
Last matches: Atlanta United FC
16.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
H2H away: Atlanta United FC
24.05.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
L
25.06.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
1
0
L
13.11.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
4
2
L
01.11.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
L
25.03.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
6
1
L
22.08.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
2
D
07.08.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
3
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Columbus Crew 3 missing
-
M. Amundsen
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
W. Abou Ali
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Thiare
Questionable Injury
OUT
Atlanta United FC 6 missing
-
M. Galarza
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
M. Almiron
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Alzate
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
F. Picault
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
E. Mihaj
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
E. Latte Lath
Questionable Illness
OUT