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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
16.08.2026 01:30
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Referee: G. Gonzales
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
Sporting Kansas City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Shapi Suleymanov
Sporting Kansas City
🟨
30'
Zorhan Bassong
Sporting Kansas City
🟥
38'
Kwaku Agyabeng
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
42'
S. Suleymanov ↔ J. Bartlett
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
46'
Z. Bassong ↔ I. James
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
56'
W. Frederick ↔ Y. Maziz
Colorado Rapids
🔄
62'
O. Blorian ↔ W. Meyer
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
65'
R. Cannon · Assist: Y. Maziz
Colorado Rapids
🔄
66'
D. Sealy ↔ D. Yapi
Colorado Rapids
🔄
66'
Capita ↔ J. Reid
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
66'
D. Joveljic ↔ T. Calheira
Sporting Kansas City
VAR
71'
Georgi Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
🟨
84'
Josh Atencio
Colorado Rapids
🔄
84'
G. Minoungou ↔ H. Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
🟨
88'
Moises Mosquera
Sporting Kansas City
🟥
90+2'
Moises Mosquera
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
90'
Rafael Navarro · Assist: P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 74.8%
Draw 13.2%
Sporting Kansas City Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.8
Sporting Kansas City1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WWDLW
34 GF / 34 GA
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
WLDWL
23 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
13
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
17
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 22 matches
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 24 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic Sporting Kansas City
8 Wins 7
2 Draws 2
12 Losses 15
34 Goals For 23
34 Goals Against 52
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
13 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 10
4.22 Shots On Goal 3.94
11.11 Total Shots 9.28
5 Corners 3.5
55.1% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and Sporting Kansas City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sporting Kansas City. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sporting Kansas City in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Kansas City having the stronger overall control.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

With 22 points from 18 games and a place of 11, Colorado Rapids still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 27:25, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Rafael Navarro (6 goals), Kosi Thompson (2 goals), Paxten Aaronson (1 goals), with creative support from Paxten Aaronson (3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sporting Kansas City Analysis

Sporting Kansas City sit 15 with 14 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 18:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Dejan Joveljić (4 goals), Manu García (2 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 5 times, Sporting Kansas City won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-3-3 / Sporting Kansas City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Colorado Rapids 5, Sporting Kansas City 4
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 5, draws 4, Sporting Kansas City wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 5 6 59:26 33 50
D W L W L
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
5 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 10 8 9 35:35 0 38
W W W D D
8 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 27 6 3 18 32:65 -33 21
L W L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)