🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 70.1%
Draw 15.6%
Real Salt Lake Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.52
Real Salt Lake1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WWDLW
37 GF / 37 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
44 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
13
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
17
4.05
Shots on Goal
5.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 25 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 24 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic Real Salt Lake
10 Wins 10
2 Draws 6
13 Losses 8
37 Goals For 44
37 Goals Against 38
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
13 BTTS Yes 20
17 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
4.05 Shots On Goal 5.68
11.9 Total Shots 14.84
5 Corners 4.89
55.5% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Salt Lake. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. Colorado Rapids come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

So far, Colorado Rapids have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 28 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 30:25 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Rafael Navarro (6 goals), Kosi Thompson (2 goals), Paxten Aaronson (1 goals), with creative support from Paxten Aaronson (3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

With 28 points from 19 games and a place of 8, Real Salt Lake still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 33:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Sergi Solans (4 goals), Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Diego Luna (4 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Diego Luna (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 4 times, Real Salt Lake won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:28 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.7%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 4, draws 2, Real Salt Lake wins 9
Last matches: Colorado Rapids
23.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
0
3
L
20.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
16.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
2
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Austin
1
0
W
26.07.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
FC Juarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas
1
2
L
17.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
1
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
03.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
L
23.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
6
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
4
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
1
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
1
W
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
22.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
20.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
3
4
L
16.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
02.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
16.07.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Burnley
4
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
4
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Austin
2
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
H2H: Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
17.05.26
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
1
0
L
18.05.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
3
2
W
19.05.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
5
3
L
10.03.24
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
1
2
W
22.10.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
0
1
L
03.09.23
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
0
L
25.05.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
0
1
L
21.05.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
2
3
L
10.07.22
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
2
2
D
03.04.22
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
17.10.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
3
1
L
22.08.21
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
25.07.21
H2H
Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids
3
0
L
Last matches: Colorado Rapids
20.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
16.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
2
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Austin
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
FC Juarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas
1
2
L
10.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
18.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
6
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
1
4
L
H2H at home: Colorado Rapids
18.05.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
3
2
W
22.10.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
0
1
L
25.05.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
0
1
L
21.05.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
2
3
L
03.04.22
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
Last matches: Real Salt Lake
22.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SC
1
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.07.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC
1
3
L
23.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas
1
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
2
2
D
08.03.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
22.02.26
Maj
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
3
D
22.01.26
Fri
Real Salt Lake
Randers FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Real Salt Lake
18.05.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
3
2
L
22.10.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
0
1
W
25.05.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
0
1
W
21.05.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
2
3
W
03.04.22
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
1
D
22.08.21
H2H
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
2
1
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 4 4 45:18 27 40
W L W D D
2 21 12 2 7 30:26 4 38
L W W W W
3 22 10 5 7 36:22 14 35
D L L D W
4 21 10 3 8 39:33 6 33
L L L L D
5 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
L W W D L
6 21 9 6 6 30:27 3 33
W D W D W
7 21 9 1 11 30:28 2 28
L W W W L
8 20 8 4 8 34:32 2 28
L L D D L
9 21 8 4 9 38:37 1 28
D W L W W
10 21 7 7 7 27:29 -2 28
W L D D D
11 21 7 6 8 37:32 5 27
W L W D W
12 22 6 8 8 27:32 -5 26
D W L D D
13 20 7 4 9 22:27 -5 25
D L L L L
14 21 5 6 10 26:40 -14 21
D W L L L
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)