ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
03.10.2026 18:00
Colon Santa Fe
Match Timeline
CA Estudiantes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
A. Bonansea
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
46'
B. Bernardi ↔ I. Vera
CA Estudiantes
🔄
46'
M. Acosta ↔ S. Camacho
CA Estudiantes
🔄
64'
I. Antonio ↔ D. Sarmiento
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
69'
J. Marcioni ↔ E. Beltran
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
69'
M. Peinipil ↔ J. Buosi
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
71'
E. Acosta ↔ E. Almiron
CA Estudiantes
🟨
77'
Caro Nicolas
CA Estudiantes
🔄
81'
R. Melo ↔ F. Dure
CA Estudiantes
🔄
81'
D. Rostagno ↔ B. Sanchez de Leon
CA Estudiantes
🔄
83'
A. Bonansea ↔ L. Garate
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
87'
B. Sanchez de Leon
CA Estudiantes
⚽
87'
J. Benitez
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
90'
D. Sarmiento
Colon Santa Fe

Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65%
Odds 1.97
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65%
1.97 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
2.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.95 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.52 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Colon Santa Fe Win 65%
Draw 5.5%
CA Estudiantes Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colon Santa Fe1.09
CA Estudiantes0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
WLDWL
29 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.91
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 31 matches
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 32 matches
Colon Santa Fe Statistic CA Estudiantes
13 Wins 12
10 Draws 9
8 Losses 11
38 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 28
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
12 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 1
13 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA Estudiantes having the stronger overall control. Colon Santa Fe have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CA Estudiantes. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Colon Santa Fe sit 5 with 48 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 38:25, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

CA Estudiantes Analysis

CA Estudiantes sit 7 with 42 points after 30 league matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 27:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Colon Santa Fe won 0 times, CA Estudiantes won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Colon Santa Fe's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Colon Santa Fe wins 0, draws 3, CA Estudiantes wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation