ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
10.10.2026 18:00
Estadio de Colegiales

Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 50.7%
Draw 3.7%
Tristan Suarez Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.79
Tristan Suarez0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WLDWL
32 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.48
11
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 32 matches
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 33 matches
Colegiales Statistic Tristan Suarez
13 Wins 15
7 Draws 13
12 Losses 5
32 Goals For 32
31 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.48
11 BTTS Yes 9
19 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 22
12 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tristan Suarez's more proactive style and Colegiales's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tristan Suarez. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tristan Suarez having the stronger overall control. Tristan Suarez carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 57 points while Colegiales sit 9 on 43, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Colegiales Analysis

So far, Colegiales have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 43 points from 31 matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 31:31 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Tristan Suarez arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 57 points after 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, while the 32:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 6 times, Tristan Suarez won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Colegiales's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 6, draws 3, Tristan Suarez wins 6

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 15 13 4 32:15 17 58
D W D D D
2 32 15 11 6 38:26 12 56
W L W D W
3 32 17 4 11 38:30 8 55
W W D W W
4 32 15 9 8 48:40 8 54
L D D W W
5 32 13 9 10 34:26 8 48
D L W W L
6 32 13 9 10 32:28 4 48
L W L D W
7 32 13 7 12 32:31 1 46
W W L W L
8 32 12 9 11 34:32 2 45
L L W D L
9 31 12 8 11 38:31 7 44
W D D D L
10 32 10 13 9 35:32 3 43
W D L W L
11 32 11 9 12 27:30 -3 42
L L W L L
12 32 10 9 13 30:27 3 39
D W L W L
13 32 10 8 14 28:38 -10 38
W L L D L
14 32 9 10 13 26:35 -9 37
D L W L W
15 31 9 9 13 23:29 -6 36
W D L W L
16 32 6 16 10 27:32 -5 34
L W D D D
17 32 9 6 17 24:33 -9 33
W L W L L
18 32 5 8 19 23:54 -31 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation