CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 27.8%
Draw 22.6%
Palestino Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.25
Palestino1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
29 GF / 48 GA
Palestino Palestino
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
12
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
16
4.47
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 26 matches
Palestino Palestino 25 matches
Cobresal Statistic Palestino
5 Wins 12
4 Draws 4
17 Losses 9
29 Goals For 43
48 Goals Against 36
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
12 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 6
4.47 Shots On Goal 4.53
14.16 Total Shots 14.11
4.89 Corners 4.21
45.8% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palestino's more proactive style and Cobresal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Palestino. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Palestino in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palestino having the stronger overall control. Palestino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 30 points while Cobresal sit 15 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Cobresal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal sit 15 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 26:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Steffan Pino (5 goals), Julián Brea (4 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 30 points after 19 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a 31:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Nelson Da Silva (4 goals), Gonzalo Tapia (3 goals), César Munder (2 goals), with creative support from Nelson Da Silva (2 assists), Dilan Zúñiga (2 assists), Nicolás Meza (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 5 times, Palestino won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from Cobresal's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-1-4-1 / Palestino 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 5, draws 1, Palestino wins 9
Last matches: Cobresal
16.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
Last matches: Palestino
18.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
5
1
W
10.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
0
2
L
11.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
2
W
04.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
2
1
W
30.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
3
L
27.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
24.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
2
L
20.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
4
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
01.06.26
Pri
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
H2H: Cobresal vs Palestino
08.03.26
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
L
07.09.25
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
2
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
2
1
L
25.08.24
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
3
0
L
29.03.24
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
2
L
01.10.23
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
2
1
W
14.04.23
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
1
5
W
08.03.23
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
1
L
30.10.22
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
1
0
W
22.05.22
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
3
1
L
14.11.21
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
2
1
L
09.08.21
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
3
1
W
09.04.21
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
2
1
L
19.03.21
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
0
D
18.01.21
H2H
Palestino
Cobresal
3
2
L
Last matches: Cobresal
16.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
06.04.25
Cop
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
3
0
W
08.02.25
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
0
2
L
27.01.25
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
1
2
L
14.07.24
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
29.06.24
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
1
W
20.08.23
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
1
3
L
22.06.23
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
19.08.22
Cop
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cobresal
07.09.25
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
2
1
W
29.03.24
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
2
L
01.10.23
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
2
1
W
08.03.23
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
1
L
30.10.22
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
1
0
W
09.08.21
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
3
1
W
19.03.21
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
0
D
Last matches: Palestino
10.08.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Cop
Palestino
Magallanes
2
1
W
30.06.26
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
3
L
27.06.26
Cop
Palestino
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
Palestino
Everton de Vina
2
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
11.05.25
Cop
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
2
D
06.04.25
Cop
Palestino
Union Espanola
0
3
L
23.03.25
Cop
Palestino
Concepción
2
3
L
01.02.25
Cop
Palestino
Union Espanola
2
1
W
09.09.24
Cop
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
06.07.24
Cop
Palestino
Santiago Wanderers
2
2
D
23.06.24
Cop
Palestino
Barnechea
2
3
L
16.06.24
Cop
Palestino
Santiago City
4
0
W
H2H away: Palestino
07.09.25
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
2
1
L
29.03.24
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
2
W
01.10.23
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
2
1
L
08.03.23
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
1
W
30.10.22
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
1
0
L
09.08.21
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
3
1
L
19.03.21
H2H
Cobresal
Palestino
0
0
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 1 3 40:19 21 46
D W W W W
2 19 10 6 3 26:13 13 36
W W W W W
3 19 8 8 3 26:23 3 32
W W D W D
4 19 9 3 7 41:28 13 30
L W L D W
5 19 9 3 7 31:27 4 30
W L W L W
6 19 8 3 8 38:31 7 27
W L W L L
7 19 7 6 6 28:22 6 27
D W L D L
8 19 8 2 9 22:23 -1 26
W W W W W
9 17 7 4 6 24:21 3 25
D L D W D
10 19 7 3 9 24:30 -6 24
D L W L L
11 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
12 19 5 8 6 28:31 -3 23
W D L D D
13 20 5 7 8 23:26 -3 22
D D D W L
14 18 5 4 9 13:30 -17 19
L L L L D
15 19 5 2 12 26:36 -10 17
L L W D L
16 20 3 5 12 17:37 -20 14
D L L L D