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28.08.2026 22:30
El Cobre
Referee: Gaston Philippe, Chile
Cobresal
Match Timeline
Palestino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
J. Morales · Assist: M. Espinoza
Cobresal
🟨
36'
Dylan Glaby
Palestino
🟨
45+4'
Juan Fuentes
Cobresal
🟨
45'
Janpol Morales
Cobresal
🔄
46'
V. Campos ↔ A. Astudillo
Cobresal
🔄
46'
M. Espinoza ↔ S. Pino
Cobresal
🔄
46'
I. Alegria ↔ G. Tapia Paez
Palestino
🔄
62'
F. Frias ↔ B. Valenzuela
Cobresal
🟨
67'
Janpol Morales
Cobresal
🟥
67'
Janpol Morales
Cobresal
🔄
79'
D. Glaby ↔ F. T. Montes Romero
Palestino
🔄
79'
V. A. Espinoza Hevia ↔ M. Araya
Palestino
🔄
81'
C. Yanis ↔ R. Huerta
Cobresal
🔄
87'
Villagran ↔ E. Valencia
Cobresal
🔄
87'
B. Carrasco ↔ D. Salgado
Palestino
🔄
87'
J. Abrigo ↔ A. Gomez
Palestino
🟨
90+3'
José Tiznado
Cobresal
⚽
90'
R. Huerta · Assist: S. Pino
Cobresal

Cobresal vs Palestino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.2%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 27.8%
Draw 22.6%
Palestino Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.27
Palestino1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
32 GF / 51 GA
Palestino Palestino
WLDWL
44 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
13
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
16
4.65
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 27 matches
Palestino Palestino 26 matches
Cobresal Statistic Palestino
5 Wins 13
5 Draws 4
17 Losses 9
32 Goals For 44
51 Goals Against 36
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
13 BTTS Yes 17
18 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 6
4.65 Shots On Goal 4.45
14.5 Total Shots 14.55
5 Corners 4.15
45.8% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Palestino's more proactive style and Cobresal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Palestino. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Palestino in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palestino having the stronger overall control. Palestino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 30 points while Cobresal sit 15 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Cobresal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal sit 15 with 17 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 26:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Steffan Pino (5 goals), Julián Brea (4 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 30 points after 19 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a 31:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Nelson Da Silva (4 goals), Gonzalo Tapia (3 goals), César Munder (2 goals), with creative support from Nelson Da Silva (2 assists), Dilan Zúñiga (2 assists), Nicolás Meza (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 6 times, Palestino won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from Cobresal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-1-4-1 / Palestino 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 6, draws 1, Palestino wins 8

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L