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CHILE › PRIMERA B
26.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Zorros del Desierto
Cobreloa
Match Timeline
Santiago Wanderers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
C. Insaurralde
Cobreloa
🟨
11'
M. Villarroel
Santiago Wanderers
🟥
25'
D. Portilla
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
39'
M. Camarda
Santiago Wanderers
🟨
45+2'
M. Villarroel
Santiago Wanderers
🟥
45+2'
M. Villarroel
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
46'
V. Vargas ↔ C. Villarroel
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
62'
T. Aranguiz ↔ J. Duma
Cobreloa
🔄
72'
A. Delgado ↔ M. Sandoval
Cobreloa
🔄
82'
C. Ponce ↔ L. Avendano
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
82'
M. Camarda ↔ C. Silva
Santiago Wanderers
🟥
84'
D. Garcia
Cobreloa
🔄
86'
C. Insaurralde ↔ Y. Navarro
Cobreloa
⚽
88'
Y. Navarro
Cobreloa
🔄
90+3'
C. Valenzuela ↔ I. Flores
Santiago Wanderers
🔄
90+3'
L. Navarro ↔ D. San Martin
Santiago Wanderers

Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.65
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
1.72 ▥
BTTS Yes
66.8%
1.65 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.74 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cobreloa Win 54.2%
Draw 10.9%
Santiago Wanderers Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobreloa1.53
Santiago Wanderers1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WWDLW
51 GF / 36 GA
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
WLDWL
47 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
20
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobreloa Cobreloa 32 matches
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 30 matches
Cobreloa Statistic Santiago Wanderers
13 Wins 13
12 Draws 8
7 Losses 9
51 Goals For 47
36 Goals Against 43
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
20 BTTS Yes 17
25 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobreloa expected to line up in 4-2-1-3 and Santiago Wanderers in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santiago Wanderers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Santiago Wanderers.

Cobreloa Analysis

Cobreloa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 42 points from 24 matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 42:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Santiago Wanderers Analysis

Santiago Wanderers approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 44 points after 24 outings. With 12 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cobreloa won 3 times, Santiago Wanderers won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:27 from Cobreloa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
Predicted formations: Cobreloa 4-2-1-3 / Santiago Wanderers 4-3-3
H2H summary: Cobreloa wins 3, draws 4, Santiago Wanderers wins 5

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 13 8 5 41:29 12 47
W W W W W
3 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 44:26 18 41
W L D L W
6 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
7 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 26 10 6 10 32:34 -2 36
L D L D L
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 26 7 10 9 35:30 5 31
W W L L L
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 26 5 7 14 16:44 -28 22
L L L D D
16 26 4 6 16 23:42 -19 18
L L W W W