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CHILE › PRIMERA B
25.07.2026 21:30
Estadio Zorros del Desierto
Cobreloa
Match Timeline
Deportes Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
G. Gotti
Cobreloa
⚽
31'
D. Arias
Deportes Santa Cruz
⚽
34'
M. Tapia
Cobreloa
🟨
38'
J. Gatica
Cobreloa
🟨
42'
C. Insaurralde
Cobreloa
🔄
46'
C. Moreno ↔ I. Quiroz
Deportes Santa Cruz
⚽
61'
I. Quiroz
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
62'
C. Insaurralde ↔ J. Duma
Cobreloa
🔄
68'
H. Herrera ↔ S. Mederos
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
72'
H. Cavero
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
74'
C. Muga
Cobreloa
🔄
75'
N. Barrios ↔ E. Flores
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
76'
J. Gatica ↔ M. Sandoval
Cobreloa
⚽
81'
R. Gonzalez
Cobreloa
⚽
84'
G. Gotti
Cobreloa
🔄
85'
D. Tati ↔ C. Castillo
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
85'
D. Plaza ↔ N. Zeineddin
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
88'
M. Tapia ↔ Y. Gonzalez
Cobreloa
🔄
88'
A. Delgado ↔ V. Conelli
Cobreloa
🔄
89'
F. Velazco ↔ F. Matamoros
Cobreloa

Cobreloa vs Deportes Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cobreloa Win 72.1%
Draw 3.3%
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobreloa1.64
Deportes Santa Cruz1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WWDLW
38 GF / 24 GA
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WLDWL
32 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
15
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobreloa Cobreloa 22 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 22 matches
Cobreloa Statistic Deportes Santa Cruz
10 Wins 7
8 Draws 7
4 Losses 8
38 Goals For 32
24 Goals Against 33
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
15 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cobreloa's more proactive style and Deportes Santa Cruz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportes Santa Cruz. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cobreloa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 29 points compared to Deportes Santa Cruz in 15 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cobreloa Analysis

Cobreloa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 29 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 30:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Gotti (9 goals), A. Delgado (6 goals), S. Zuniga (5 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 12 points from 15 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 19:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Arias (14 goals), F. Orellana (3 goals), H. Herrera (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Cobreloa won 4 times, Deportes Santa Cruz won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Cobreloa's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
Predicted formations: Cobreloa - / Deportes Santa Cruz 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cobreloa wins 4, draws 5, Deportes Santa Cruz wins 4

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 8 5 43:29 14 53
W W W W W
2 28 14 9 5 51:30 21 51
W L W W D
3 28 13 8 7 46:31 15 47
W L L L L
4 28 13 7 8 44:40 4 46
L W W W D
5 28 12 9 7 47:26 21 45
D W W L D
6 28 11 8 9 40:42 -2 41
L L W D W
7 28 10 10 8 33:27 6 40
D L W W L
8 27 11 7 9 42:40 2 40
W W W D L
9 28 9 9 10 44:39 5 36
D W L D W
10 27 10 6 11 32:35 -3 36
L L D L D
11 28 8 11 9 38:32 6 35
D W W W L
12 28 10 5 13 26:35 -9 35
D L L L L
13 28 7 10 11 26:42 -16 31
D W L L W
14 28 4 11 13 28:42 -14 23
D L L D W
15 28 5 8 15 18:50 -32 23
D L L L L
16 28 5 6 17 28:46 -18 21
L W L L W