PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia
Referee: D. Ojeda
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
Sportivo Luqueno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
B. Pinatares ↔ H. Gonzalez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
46'
P. Riveros ↔ A. M. Martinez Cubilla
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
57'
C. Colman ↔ J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
65'
J. Ramos ↔ W. Gonzalez
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
65'
L. Comas ↔ O. Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
65'
S. Diaz ↔ M. Ojeda
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
69'
I. Maggi
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
74'
I. Torres ↔ A. Oviedo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
74'
A. Galeano ↔ V. Cespedes
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
86'
D. Meza Montiel
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
86'
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
86'
A. Alvarez ↔ H. Villamayor
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
89'
A. Quinonez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win 62.6%
Draw 0%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1.01
Sportivo Luqueno1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo
WWDLW
13 GF / 41 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
23 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
1.15
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
9
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
11
1.9
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 20 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 20 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
2 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
13 Losses 11
13 Goals For 23
41 Goals Against 31
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
9 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 1
9 Failed To Score 7
1.9 Shots On Goal 4.1
7.4 Total Shots 11.1
2.75 Corners 3.4
28.5% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Club Sp. San Lorenzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sportivo Luqueno in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Luqueno having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Luqueno.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Analysis

Club Sp. San Lorenzo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 11 points from 20 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 13:41, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Galeano (3 goals), J. Barrios (3 goals), Luis Cáceres (2 goals), with creative support from Héctor Villamayor (3 assists), J. Barrios (1 assists), A. Paez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Sportivo Luqueno have collected 19 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 23:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Iván Maggi (10 goals), Sebastián Quintana (4 goals), L. Comas (2 goals), with creative support from L. Comas (3 assists), Iván Maggi (2 assists), G. Bogado (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 5 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Club Sp. San Lorenzo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Luqueno 4-4-2
H2H summary: Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins 5, draws 4, Sportivo Luqueno wins 3

Lineups

Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Formation
Sportivo Luqueno
F. Cristoforo
F. Cristoforo
L. Esteche
L. Esteche
L. Caceres
L. Caceres
J. Doldan
J. Doldan
D. Meza Montiel
D. Meza Montiel
A. Galeano
A. Galeano
A. Quinonez
A. Quinonez
B. Pinatares
B. Pinatares
I. Torres
I. Torres
A. Alvarez
A. Alvarez
C. Colman
C. Colman
A. Aguilar
A. Aguilar
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
F. Wiechniak
F. Wiechniak
P. Riveros
P. Riveros
A. Villalba
A. Villalba
G. Bogado
G. Bogado
S. Quintana
S. Quintana
J. Ramos
J. Ramos
L. Comas
L. Comas
S. Diaz
S. Diaz
I. Maggi
I. Maggi
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Cristoforo
2
L. Esteche
19
L. Caceres
4
J. Doldan
20
D. Meza Montiel
🟨 86'
30
A. Galeano
↓ 74'
8
A. Quinonez
🟨 89'
15
B. Pinatares
↓ 46'
11
I. Torres
↓ 74'
10
A. Alvarez
↓ 86'
35
C. Colman
↓ 57'
Substitutes
33
R. Olazar
28
A. Oviedo
↑ 74'
16
V. Cespedes
↑ 74'
21
H. Gonzalez
↑ 46'
26
J. Duarte
5
T. Paredes
6
H. Villamayor
↑ 86'
9
J. Barrios
↑ 57'
29
M. Garcia
17
T. Jara
24
M. Aguero
27
E. Ortiz
Sportivo Luqueno 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Aguilar
26
J. Diaz
6
F. Wiechniak
2
P. Riveros
↓ 46'
5
A. Villalba
8
G. Bogado
18
S. Quintana
25
J. Ramos
↓ 65'
37
L. Comas
↓ 65'
10
S. Diaz
↓ 65'
20
I. Maggi
🟨 69'
Substitutes
1
F. Mongelos
16
A. Benitez
9
W. Gonzalez
↑ 65'
35
A. Pereira
22
S. Ocampos
34
A. M. Martinez Cubilla
↑ 46'
11
O. Ruiz
↑ 65'
14
F. Benitez
3
A. Brizuela
27
M. Ojeda
↑ 65'
30
T. Franco
19
J. Bobadilla
Last matches: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
16.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
09.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
2
L
03.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
0
3
L
30.07.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
0
1
L
25.07.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
22.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
10.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
0
W
01.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
5
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
1
L
17.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
10.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
1
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
2
4
L
31.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
28.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
22.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
17.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
08.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
1
D
02.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
7
L
26.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
2
L
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
16.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
09.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
01.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
3
L
29.07.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
4
L
26.07.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
2
1
W
23.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
1
2
L
10.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
02.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
0
D
25.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
18.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
22.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
13.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
07.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
02.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
H2H: Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno
09.08.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
2
L
17.05.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
13.03.26
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
02.10.22
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
24.06.22
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
2
W
12.11.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
31.08.20
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
24.02.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
07.10.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
22.07.19
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
3
W
13.04.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
3
L
11.02.19
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
3
W
Last matches: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
09.08.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
2
L
30.07.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
0
1
L
10.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
0
W
26.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
1
L
10.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
1
0
W
31.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
22.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
17.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
02.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
7
L
19.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
06.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
3
L
27.01.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
2
4
L
H2H at home: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
09.08.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
2
L
17.05.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
02.10.22
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
12.11.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
24.02.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
07.10.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
W
13.04.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
3
L
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
09.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
01.08.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
3
L
26.07.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
2
1
W
02.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
0
D
18.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
2
L
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
07.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
13.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
02.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
23.01.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
H2H away: Sportivo Luqueno
09.08.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
2
W
17.05.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
02.10.22
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
L
12.11.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
W
24.02.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
07.10.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
2
0
L
13.04.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
3
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)