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MEXICO › LIGA MX
22.08.2026 03:10
Estadio La Corregidora
Referee: Yonatan Peinado Aguirre, Mexico
Club Queretaro
Match Timeline
Toluca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Alexis Vega
Toluca
VAR
30'
Diego Barbosa
Toluca
🟥
31'
Diego Barbosa
Toluca
⚽
45+6'
Ali Ávila
Club Queretaro
VAR
45+2'
Ali Ávila
Club Queretaro
🟨
45+5'
Fernando Arce Juárez
Toluca
🔄
46'
F. Arce ↔ B. A. Garcia Caprizo
Toluca
🔄
46'
A. Vega ↔ N. Castro
Toluca
🟨
55'
Ali Ávila
Club Queretaro
🔄
58'
A. Alcala ↔ M. Coronel
Club Queretaro
🔄
58'
Paulo Victor ↔ I. Benito
Club Queretaro
⚽
65'
Helinho
Toluca
🔄
73'
B. Duarte ↔ W. Madrid
Club Queretaro
🔄
73'
Helinho ↔ Luan
Toluca
🟨
74'
Nicolás Castro
Toluca
🔄
74'
C. Garcia ↔ J. Martinez
Club Queretaro
🔄
74'
J. Angulo ↔ J. Diaz Price
Toluca
⚽
79'
S. Homenchenko · Assist: D. Parra
Club Queretaro
🟨
81'
Iker Benito
Club Queretaro
🔄
85'
Bruno Mendez ↔ V. Guzman
Toluca
🟨
89'
Santiago Homenchenko
Club Queretaro
🔄
90+3'
D. Parra ↔ E. Perez
Club Queretaro
⚽
90'
F. Vinas
Toluca

Club Queretaro vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Club Queretaro Win 56.5%
Draw 6.2%
Toluca Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Queretaro1.32
Toluca1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
WWDLW
10 GF / 6 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
28 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
2.15
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
3
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
6.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 7 matches
Toluca Toluca 13 matches
Club Queretaro Statistic Toluca
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
10 Goals For 28
6 Goals Against 15
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
3 BTTS Yes 7
4 Over 1.5 11
3 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
4 Shots On Goal 6.55
12.75 Total Shots 18
3.75 Corners 4.82
38.5% Ball Possession 60.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Queretaro won 4 times, Toluca won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:28 from Club Queretaro's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: Club Queretaro 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Queretaro wins 4, draws 4, Toluca wins 7

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W D L W W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 5 3 2 17:10 7 18
L D W W D
4 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
5 9 5 2 2 13:8 5 17
W D W W L
6 10 5 2 3 16:17 -1 17
W D L D L
7 10 5 1 4 19:18 1 16
D L W W W
8 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
9 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
L D L W L
10 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W D L L
11 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
12 10 3 3 4 15:11 4 12
L D W W D
13 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L D L W L
14 10 3 3 4 14:18 -4 12
W W L L W
15 10 2 5 3 12:15 -3 11
W D L D D
16 10 3 1 6 10:15 -5 10
W W W L D
17 10 2 2 6 12:20 -8 8
L L L D L
18 10 1 0 9 7:25 -18 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)